NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	91		Excitement	8.6 [151]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +106.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	1.6 [426]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (WAS): -16.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	1.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.41,1.06	0.09	0.94	-0.04	25	54%	1.10	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	10	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.12	-0.00	11	50%	0.17	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	59%	0.09	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Dominic McGuire	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17	-0.02	-0.15	0.00	9	47%	-0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.14	0.24	0.01	14	71%	0.40	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.36	0.36	-0.02	0.38	-0.01	16	51%	0.42	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.09
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.00	9	48%	0.17	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.07
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	55%	0.04	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	59%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	27.5	15.7	27.1	2.4	35.4	133.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +38.1%

LAC -24.1%

WAS +42.2%

LAC -1.1%

LAC -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	18.0	14.7	15.4	102.2	102.3	105.7
season	16.1	15.6		106.8	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.8	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.3	16.9	20.4	18.8	18.0
LAC	14.3	13.7	15.6	15.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	31	32	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-3	8	18.2	17.9	0.33	15.1	14.5	0.55
Roger Mason Jr.	29	30	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	-4	10	16.7	18.6	-1.91	15.4	14.4	1.05
Antawn Jamison	69	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	0	2	18.0	17.8	0.16	14.5	15.3	-0.76
Antonio Daniels	84	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	2	-2	18.2	14.8	3.37	14.8	13.6	1.18
DeShawn Stevenson	60	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	4	-6	18.6	16.7	1.91	14.1	15.9	-1.83
Dominic McGuire	41	40	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	-4	10	19.1	17.0	2.03	15.9	13.7	2.24
Oleksiy Pecherov	8	7	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	-1	4	16.5	18.1	-1.62	13.4	14.8	-1.40
Nick Young	5	5	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	0	2	14.8	18.2	-3.37	13.6	14.8	-1.18
Andray Blatche	53	52	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	6	-10	16.8	19.7	-2.84	14.7	14.7	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	65	62	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.06	-8	10	-18	18.3	17.2	1.05	14.3	15.7	-1.36

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	54	55	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.02	11	-13	24	14.7	14.7	-0.02	18.7	16.9	1.77
Chris Kaman	68	70	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-8	14	14.4	15.9	-1.51	18.3	16.9	1.31
Corey Maggette	74	72	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-10	18	14.3	16.8	-2.51	18.5	15.8	2.74
Aaron Williams	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	4	-10	16.8	14.2	2.60	16.9	18.3	-1.31
Quinton Ross	1	2	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	0	-2	0.0	14.9	-14.88	15.5	18.0	-2.53
Al Thornton	74	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-2	2	14.3	17.2	-2.96	18.2	16.6	1.61
Brevin Knight	32	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	9	-20	15.2	14.4	0.75	16.6	18.8	-2.18
Cuttino Mobley	63	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.43	-8	6	-14	15.5	12.7	2.71	17.7	18.7	-0.91
Tim Thomas	51	51	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.47	-8	6	-14	14.7	14.7	-0.06	17.5	18.7	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.29,0.45,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 104, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.45,0.57,0.16,0	92.8%
MEM 82, HOU 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.18,0.07,0.11,0.32,0.27,0	91.4%
DEN 104, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.05,0.11,0.29,0.15,0.01,0	91.2%