inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 104 Excitement8.6 [180] MVPBrandon Knight (DET): +58.1%
Orlando Magic 102 Comeback4.0 [261] LVPGlen Davis (ORL): -40.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Knight0.580,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.58,0.580.230.370.021691%0.663-0.082100%0.01
Kyle Singler0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.090.090.01583%0.1700.002100%0.02
Greg Monroe0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.110.050.05-0.001165%0.172-0.06475%-0.00
Austin Daye0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.04-0.00667%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Kim English0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.02-0.00375%0.0700.002100%0.01
Charlie Villanueva-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0,0,00.03-0.04-0.011248%-0.0000.0010%-0.01
Jason Maxiell-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00536%-0.0100.0010%-0.02
Andre Drummond-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Will Bynum-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.01750%0.042-0.10475%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.320,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32-0.17-0.15-0.001325%-0.223-0.09250%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.1,0.27,0.3,0.30.300.070.230.001458%0.321-0.023100%0.03
JJ Redick0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.040.040.15-0.090.021779%0.215-0.17560%-0.01
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.010.01-0.010.030.011346%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.010.010.04-0.030.001453%0.072-0.06683%-0.01
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.010.00333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gustavo Ayon00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00729%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27,-0.41-0.41-0.17-0.25-0.012237%-0.145-0.26250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.830.216.322.72.438.6134.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +60.3%
ORL -11.3%
ORL -21.4%
DET +18.9%
DET +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETORLNBADETORLNBA
this game15.315.815.4113.0109.7104.1
season15.715.5102.3100.3
opponent15.315.5107.7106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.813.218.916.015.3
ORL18.314.516.214.715.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Bynum41420.62-0.120.740.388-61414.516.0-1.5214.916.6-1.64
Charlie Villanueva49500.54-0.040.580.395-3815.115.5-0.3914.217.7-3.52
Greg Monroe62620.480.020.450.54-24-615.714.41.2916.614.32.26
Brandon Knight68690.360.140.210.50-57-1216.013.42.6116.115.20.89
Tayshaun Prince65640.300.200.110.54-810-1816.113.42.6316.015.40.60
Kyle Singler40400.290.210.09-0.1214-122613.017.1-4.1217.214.82.50
Austin Daye33340.180.32-0.14-0.037-51214.116.0-1.8914.116.8-2.79
Jason Maxiell36360.030.47-0.44-0.063-1416.214.71.4618.214.43.82
Andre Drummond3334-0.050.55-0.60-0.02-13-414.515.8-1.2814.616.5-1.91
Kim English3334-0.250.75-1.000.07-1113-2416.814.52.3116.015.70.22

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Harkless29270.12-0.620.750.072-4613.716.8-3.1614.015.8-1.85
Gustavo Ayon25230.06-0.560.620.031-3415.216.1-0.8614.615.6-0.99
Ish Smith880.04-0.540.580.011-3412.716.1-3.3716.615.21.45
Arron Afflalo4648-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-31-417.714.03.6515.814.81.02
E'Twaun Moore5956-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.474-61014.518.1-3.6615.814.61.23
JJ Redick7777-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.450-2215.915.70.1715.116.3-1.23
Glen Davis7574-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.37-42-616.214.22.0615.315.4-0.17
Nikola Vucevic7676-0.580.08-0.66-0.46-42-616.014.91.0915.514.41.05
Jameer Nelson7071-0.700.20-0.91-0.50-75-1216.513.72.8915.215.5-0.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.45,0.57,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 91, LAC 890.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.29,0.45,0.27,092.8%
BKN 88, NYK 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.28,091.2%
LAC 101, OKC 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.64,0.45,0.26,090.8%