NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	101		Excitement	8.5 [171]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +42.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	93		Comeback	1.8 [387]		LVP	James Harden (OKC): -16.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33	0.12	0.23	0.02	15	71%	0.40	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.05
Al Thornton	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.00	16	49%	0.14	2	-0.07	9	67%	-0.04
Marcus Camby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Sebastian Telfair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Novak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	20	55%	0.24	4	-0.27	4	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Rasual Butler	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.42	0.21	0.18	-0.04	25	66%	0.49	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.05
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	19%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	0.01	7	47%	0.03	2	-0.18	1	100%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.11	-0.03	17	42%	0.02	3	-0.17	6	100%	0.06
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	8	20%	-0.09	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	30.2	16.7	28.0	1.8	38.3	144.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +55.8%

OKC -13.2%

OKC -2.4%

LAC +9.7%

OKC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.3	112.2	103.3	106.0
season	15.5	15.0		101.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.1	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	15.1	16.8	17.8	16.2
OKC	13.4	19.2	14.5	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	52	52	0.61	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-3	14	16.5	15.8	0.70	16.5	14.7	1.81
Al Thornton	58	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	2	4	16.6	15.6	0.96	16.6	14.0	2.63
DeAndre Jordan	15	15	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	-2	12	19.7	15.5	4.19	21.5	14.6	6.93
Baron Davis	69	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	12	-16	15.6	18.3	-2.66	14.7	19.4	-4.73
Craig Smith	24	26	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	1	6	17.7	15.7	2.00	19.0	14.4	4.56
Marcus Camby	66	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	10	-12	16.3	16.1	0.22	14.7	18.4	-3.72
Sebastian Telfair	21	21	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	-4	16	18.3	15.6	2.66	19.4	14.7	4.73
Chris Kaman	72	71	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.27	-3	11	-14	15.5	19.2	-3.72	14.7	19.8	-5.11
Steve Novak	25	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.14	9	-1	10	15.3	16.6	-1.34	14.0	16.4	-2.36
Rasual Butler	48	48	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	14	-20	15.2	17.4	-2.18	14.1	17.6	-3.54

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	49	49	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.05	5	-13	18	16.3	15.1	1.25	17.3	15.0	2.38
Serge Ibaka	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-6	4	16.2	15.7	0.44	13.3	16.5	-3.21
Kevin Ollie	19	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-3	-2	18.9	14.9	3.98	19.3	15.5	3.86
James Harden	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	1	-10	16.2	15.5	0.67	16.7	16.0	0.74
Etan Thomas	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	0	-8	16.7	15.2	1.45	17.2	15.7	1.56
Nenad Krstic	58	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-8	8	15.2	16.7	-1.45	15.7	17.2	-1.56
Thabo Sefolosha	58	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-9	10	15.5	16.2	-0.67	16.0	16.7	-0.74
Kevin Durant	85	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-6	4	15.1	27.6	-12.54	16.2	17.0	-0.80
Russell Westbrook	71	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-5	2	14.9	18.9	-3.98	15.5	19.3	-3.86
Jeff Green	40	39	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.17	-17	9	-26	16.5	15.2	1.29	15.5	16.8	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.64,0.45,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 69, OKC 65	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.1,0	91.8%
IND 92, NOK 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.46,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.46,0.67,0.16,0	91.2%
MIA 82, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.15,0.09,0	91.1%