inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 104 Excitement6.9 [450] MVPJ.R. Smith (DEN): +37.9%
Dallas Mavericks 96 Comeback1.1 [493] LVPRodrigue Beaubois (DAL): -9.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Smith0.380,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.38,0.38,0.380.180.230.041477%0.3800.002100%0.02
Kenyon Martin0.080,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.080.040.03-0.011560%0.122-0.0400%0.00
Ty Lawson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.080.10-0.031233%0.092-0.043100%0.03
Wilson Chandler0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.01-0.001259%0.082-0.04367%-0.00
Al Harrington0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.01-0.01956%0.082-0.0600%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.00750%0.041-0.02667%-0.01
Raymond Felton-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.01-0.01850%0.054-0.112100%0.00
Nene-0.080,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.07-0.00945%-0.011-0.07250%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Marion0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.110.100.011470%0.221-0.03250%-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.10.100.090.030.011659%0.1000.002100%0.02
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.00965%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.050.050.020.03-0.011068%0.144-0.092100%0.01
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.020.00750%0.0300.0000%0.00
Brian Cardinal00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.01112%-0.051-0.01617%-0.07
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.001246%0.064-0.162100%0.02
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.100.030.02737%-0.004-0.102100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.526.216.826.22.331.3128.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +26.7%
DEN +3.5%
DEN +12.0%
DEN +6.8%
DEN +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game15.715.415.5111.8104.3105.7
season14.315.7110.7108.5
opponent15.715.5103.8106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.216.615.318.015.7
DAL17.513.415.415.415.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wilson Chandler56550.480.020.450.1511-31414.817.1-2.2717.112.84.27
J.R. Smith56550.370.130.240.2253216.714.32.3514.117.4-3.32
Nene71710.350.150.200.2635-215.516.7-1.2315.016.6-1.59
Ty Lawson53540.340.160.190.089-11015.516.0-0.5416.314.12.24
Danilo Gallinari60590.300.200.100.1844015.416.4-0.9615.714.80.89
Raymond Felton62610.270.230.040.2708-816.514.22.3714.317.5-3.16
Al Harrington37370.220.28-0.060.0171616.815.11.7314.516.0-1.56
Kenyon Martin70680.170.33-0.160.1417-615.217.3-2.0815.913.92.00

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Peja Stojakovic40400.10-0.600.70-0.024-121615.615.20.4115.116.2-1.13
Brian Cardinal440.02-0.520.54-0.011-91014.015.5-1.4512.515.9-3.39
DeShawn Stevenson910-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-7620.414.85.6013.916.0-2.06
Ian Mahinmi3030-0.01-0.490.47-0.010-8814.116.0-1.9217.015.11.86
Jason Terry6061-0.16-0.340.18-0.191-91014.517.1-2.6616.314.71.51
Shawn Marion5760-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.09-7-1-616.114.21.9715.616.0-0.45
Rodrigue Beaubois3940-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.11-91-1014.915.8-0.9015.316.0-0.69
Brendan Haywood6162-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.23-5-3-215.814.51.2715.117.0-1.84
Jose Juan Barea5657-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.26-4-4015.714.90.7816.015.30.67
Corey Brewer4038-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.16-91-1014.715.9-1.1315.915.60.35
Dirk Nowitzki6463-0.590.09-0.68-0.27-113-1415.515.20.2516.214.81.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.05,0.11,0.29,0.15,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 104, NYK 1020.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,092.6%
MEM 82, HOU 780.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.18,0.07,0.11,0.32,0.27,092.3%
ORL 107, ATL 1040.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.39,0.23,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.09,092.1%