NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	8.1 [237]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +17.6%
Houston Rockets	78		Comeback	1.1 [604]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -51.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.11	-0.02	12	52%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Marc Gasol	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	13	47%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	14	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	0.02	-0.04	0.03	7	56%	-0.00	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	14	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.05
Tony Allen	-0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27	-0.10	-0.11	0.06	12	31%	-0.25	1	-0.02	8	25%	-0.13

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	13	53%	0.16	4	-0.18	6	83%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	44%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.19,-0.52	-0.52	-0.11	-0.40	0.01	24	48%	-0.30	8	-0.22	14	79%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	28.6	15.7	26.1	2.3	46.7	147.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +16.5%

HOU -7.2%

HOU -3.2%

MEM +38.1%

MEM +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	17.9	14.5	15.4	93.2	86.7	104.1
season	16.5	14.2		102.9	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		105.0	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.5	15.2	21.4	16.2	17.9
HOU	17.4	14.8	14.0	12.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	67	68	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.31	15	-11	26	18.0	17.3	0.71	14.5	14.7	-0.27
Tayshaun Prince	65	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-3	10	18.1	17.1	1.01	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Marc Gasol	65	66	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	-2	8	18.1	17.1	1.01	14.7	14.0	0.77
Jerryd Bayless	59	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	3	-2	16.7	20.2	-3.43	13.7	16.2	-2.43
Tony Allen	45	47	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.35	-1	5	-6	19.1	16.6	2.53	13.2	15.9	-2.70
Austin Daye	17	17	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	-1	6	14.9	18.6	-3.71	17.3	13.9	3.42
Zach Randolph	52	52	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.18	11	-7	18	18.8	16.5	2.28	14.2	15.0	-0.87
Quincy Pondexter	20	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	17.5	18.0	-0.42	16.8	13.8	2.92
Darrell Arthur	20	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	9	-14	16.0	18.4	-2.43	14.7	14.5	0.23
Ed Davis	10	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	10	-16	20.2	17.6	2.62	16.6	14.2	2.41
Keyon Dooling	20	22	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.09	-13	17	-30	17.3	18.0	-0.74	14.7	14.5	0.27

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donatas Motiejunas	12	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-8	12	17.6	14.1	3.53	17.0	18.0	-1.00
Carlos Delfino	27	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-1	-2	16.2	13.8	2.43	18.0	17.8	0.18
Greg Smith	36	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	0	-4	13.8	15.0	-1.19	19.8	16.4	3.42
Patrick Beverley	46	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.32	3	-7	10	15.2	13.8	1.38	16.6	19.0	-2.45
Terrence Jones	57	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-8	12	15.1	13.5	1.59	16.2	20.4	-4.19
Francisco Garcia	40	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	4	-12	13.9	15.0	-1.03	19.0	16.9	2.11
Jeremy Lin	86	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-2	0	14.0	26.2	-12.27	18.0	16.0	1.96
Omer Asik	64	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	7	-18	14.2	15.2	-0.94	18.0	17.7	0.27
James Harden	82	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	14.1	18.7	-4.64	18.1	15.6	2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.18,0.07,0.11,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 105, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.15,0.04,0.14,0.16,0	93.0%
SEA 100, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.13,0.24,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.42,0	92.3%
DEN 104, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.05,0.11,0.29,0.15,0.01,0	92.3%