NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	111		Excitement	8.0 [239]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +56.0%
New Jersey Nets	105		Comeback	5.4 [56]		LVP	Josh Boone (NJN): -28.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.56	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.29,0.56	0.26	0.32	0.02	20	73%	0.59	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.07,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.02	15	63%	0.25	2	-0.15	8	100%	0.09
Fred Jones	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	74%	0.12	5	-0.12	7	71%	-0.01
David Lee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	14	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	7	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Williams	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.07	0.02	10	67%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	50%	0.05
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,-0.09,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	17	50%	0.15	4	-0.17	10	60%	-0.08
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.03	21	55%	0.02	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	9	41%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	9	56%	-0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	0.07	-0.29	0.06	11	64%	-0.12	2	-0.16	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	31.2	15.7	29.2	2.3	42.6	146.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +66.8%

NYK +17.2%

NJN -41.4%

NYK +12.0%

NJN -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.4	116.8	112.9	105.7
season	15.7	15.4		103.1	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.3	14.4	15.6	14.2	15.6
NJN	13.0	17.6	15.0	14.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	70	69	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.18	23	-17	40	15.8	15.2	0.63	15.9	12.4	3.50
Nate Robinson	50	50	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.25	19	-13	32	14.8	16.5	-1.69	15.4	14.6	0.76
Jamal Crawford	89	88	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.38	4	2	2	15.8	12.7	3.15	14.8	19.0	-4.22
Eddy Curry	57	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	-3	12	16.5	14.3	2.18	15.7	13.8	1.94
Quentin Richardson	70	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	7	-8	15.2	16.7	-1.44	14.4	16.8	-2.39
Renaldo Balkman	21	21	0.17	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	0	6	15.5	15.6	-0.12	18.0	14.1	3.92
Jared Jeffries	17	15	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	3	0	13.9	16.0	-2.05	12.8	15.4	-2.64
Malik Rose	12	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	15	-24	18.2	15.3	2.91	10.2	15.7	-5.48
David Lee	42	39	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	18	-30	16.0	15.4	0.59	14.5	15.4	-0.81
Fred Jones	47	46	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.10	-12	18	-30	15.1	16.2	-1.10	14.6	15.4	-0.75

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	17	18	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-8	10	18.1	14.3	3.73	15.7	15.6	0.06
Malik Allen	24	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-5	4	15.4	14.9	0.49	12.2	16.7	-4.55
Jamaal Magloire	12	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-6	6	12.9	15.3	-2.40	15.5	15.6	-0.19
Sean Williams	39	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-5	4	14.9	15.1	-0.15	15.7	15.6	0.11
Jason Collins	29	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-2	-2	15.3	14.9	0.39	15.4	15.7	-0.30
Josh Boone	72	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-7	8	15.5	13.3	2.17	16.6	12.4	4.18
Vince Carter	81	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-8	10	14.3	19.7	-5.35	15.7	15.2	0.50
Bostjan Nachbar	40	41	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	8	-22	15.9	14.3	1.65	14.3	16.6	-2.38
Richard Jefferson	74	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	1	-8	15.1	14.5	0.67	16.6	12.0	4.59
Jason Kidd	77	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	2	-10	14.1	19.2	-5.04	15.5	16.1	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.22,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 111, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.27,0.14,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.46,0.17,0.09,0	89.6%
MIN 101, GSW 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.17,0.41,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	89.4%
ORL 111, MIA 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.16,0	89.3%