NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	8.1 [239]		MVP	Vonteego Cummings (GSW): +18.4%
Golden State Warriors	96		Comeback	5.0 [480]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (GSW): -45.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.13,0.13	-0.03	0.14	-0.02	11	54%	0.24	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	7	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	10	61%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
William Avery	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	0.09	-0.07	0.04	14	70%	0.09	2	-0.10	2	100%	-0.02
Tom Hammonds	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.12	0.03	0.00	9	30%	-0.06	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.19	-0.15	-0.00	16	34%	-0.22	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.12	0.04	5	120%	0.24	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	23	55%	0.09	3	-0.07	14	57%	-0.03
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Mark Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	48%	0.00	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.24,-0.35,-0.35,-0.45	-0.45	-0.17	-0.29	-0.01	13	25%	-0.27	3	-0.18	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	27.6	16.5	32.2	2.4	38.3	146.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +1.8%

MIN +8.4%

MIN +47.5%

GSW -11.2%

MIN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.2	107.4	103.2	101.7
season	15.1	14.7		103.5	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.7		105.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	17.7	14.4	17.0	16.0
GSW	13.2	14.3	16.9	15.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Sealy	69	68	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.55	9	-4	13	15.8	16.5	-0.75	14.4	16.1	-1.77
Terrell Brandon	60	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	-3	11	15.3	17.2	-1.94	15.7	13.4	2.29
Kevin Garnett	70	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	0	5	15.6	17.0	-1.33	15.4	13.0	2.49
Anthony Peeler	35	35	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	2	1	16.2	15.8	0.32	15.1	14.7	0.41
Rasho Nesterovic	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.01	10	-5	15	17.1	15.0	2.11	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Joe Smith	51	50	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	4	-3	16.0	16.0	-0.02	15.8	13.7	2.10
Wally Szczerbiak	60	60	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	4	-3	15.1	17.4	-2.26	14.9	14.6	0.34
William Avery	11	11	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	-1	7	20.5	15.4	5.18	12.7	15.1	-2.38
Tom Hammonds	13	13	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	5	-5	14.7	16.2	-1.48	12.9	15.1	-2.21
Sam Mitchell	28	27	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.10	-5	10	-15	16.7	15.6	1.11	14.1	15.1	-1.01
Bobby Jackson	28	28	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.09	-13	18	-31	16.6	15.7	0.86	13.4	15.4	-2.00

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Davis	65	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.33	6	-11	17	14.7	15.1	-0.35	17.6	11.9	5.72
Bill Curley	27	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	1	-7	16.4	14.2	2.17	14.2	16.6	-2.41
Vonteego Cummings	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-5	5	15.0	14.7	0.32	15.8	16.1	-0.22
Adonal Foyle	72	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	14.6	15.5	-0.84	17.1	11.9	5.10
Sam Jacobson	33	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	6	-17	15.7	14.4	1.30	12.3	17.9	-5.54
Tony Farmer	65	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	4	-13	14.3	16.0	-1.63	15.1	18.1	-3.00
Mookie Blaylock	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-4	3	14.5	16.2	-1.66	16.4	14.1	2.37
Larry Hughes	93	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.8	0.0	14.83	16.0	0.0	15.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.17,0.41,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.44,0.08,0	90.3%
MEM 101, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.28,0.1,0.04,0	90.1%
POR 89, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.7,0.72,0.45,0.55,0.33,0.16,0	89.5%