NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	96		Excitement	8.1 [209]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (NJN): +38.4%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	14.7 [22]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -28.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.38	0.10	0.29	0.00	7	93%	0.40	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	5	100%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01	-0.02	0.05	0.03	17	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.10
Jason Kidd	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Josh Boone	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28	-0.10	-0.17	0.01	12	40%	-0.22	3	-0.06	11	55%	-0.05

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.14	-0.01	12	54%	0.20	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.00	9	67%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	17	56%	0.17	2	-0.10	7	100%	0.03
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Augustine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	0.01	-0.02	8	12%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	11	41%	-0.14	3	-0.07	10	30%	-0.14
Keith Bogans	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.23	-0.23	0.06	-0.29	0.00	7	62%	-0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	2.0	31.1	16.4	29.3	2.4	32.5	144.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +20.2%

NJN +23.3%

NJN +0.5%

NJN +4.0%

NJN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.6	15.4	106.7	103.3	105.7
season	15.4	15.1		101.8	109.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		104.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.2	13.2	15.3	16.8	15.1
ORL	14.2	16.8	16.7	19.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	29	30	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.54	10	-9	19	16.1	14.6	1.55	18.9	15.5	3.45
Jason Collins	40	40	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.44	12	-11	23	14.2	15.7	-1.54	17.0	16.2	0.84
Jason Kidd	70	71	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.46	4	-3	7	14.8	16.0	-1.28	16.6	16.3	0.31
Richard Jefferson	73	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.54	-2	3	-5	14.8	16.0	-1.16	16.3	17.6	-1.31
Malik Allen	35	35	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	1	-1	16.2	14.3	1.83	16.6	16.6	0.04
Vince Carter	77	79	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	2	-3	14.9	15.9	-1.01	16.8	15.4	1.39
Bostjan Nachbar	55	55	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.24	6	-5	11	14.4	16.1	-1.78	15.7	17.8	-2.07
Marcus Williams	3	4	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	7	-13	16.3	15.0	1.32	10.7	16.8	-6.09
Jamaal Magloire	11	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	6	-11	13.9	15.2	-1.31	15.1	16.8	-1.66
Sean Williams	29	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	11	-21	16.1	14.5	1.60	15.8	17.0	-1.21
Josh Boone	28	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	4	-7	16.0	14.6	1.42	17.1	16.3	0.83

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Augustine	25	24	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.10	13	-14	27	15.6	17.0	-1.40	14.1	15.4	-1.27
Adonal Foyle	27	26	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-6	11	16.3	16.7	-0.40	14.5	15.3	-0.84
Jameer Nelson	36	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.19	-12	11	-23	16.7	16.5	0.15	14.3	15.5	-1.22
Maurice Evans	40	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	8	-17	15.8	17.2	-1.33	14.5	15.5	-0.96
Carlos Arroyo	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.66	11	-12	23	16.5	16.7	-0.15	15.5	14.3	1.22
Keith Bogans	66	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.51	1	-2	3	16.7	16.3	0.32	14.7	16.1	-1.40
Rashard Lewis	69	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	8	-17	17.5	13.9	3.55	15.6	13.5	2.06
Hedo Turkoglu	76	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.54	1	-2	3	16.4	17.3	-0.89	15.5	12.9	2.58
Dwight Howard	65	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.43	-6	5	-11	16.7	16.3	0.40	15.3	14.5	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.61,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	93.5%
DAL 91, CHH 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.42,0	91.5%
DAL 99, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	91.1%