NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	7.9 [253]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (PHX): +12.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Comeback	18.6 [20]		LVP	Joe Smith (MIN): -28.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,0.01,0.01,0.12	-0.05	0.17	-0.00	16	56%	0.23	4	-0.10	9	67%	0.09
Kevin Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	20	52%	0.10	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Don MacLean	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Todd Day	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	8	39%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	9	35%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.02	12	66%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.09
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	14	28%	-0.08	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.14	0.02	13	69%	0.12	5	-0.27	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	17	38%	-0.09	3	-0.07	3	67%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.11,-0.04,0.03,-0.29	-0.29	-0.10	-0.21	-0.02	11	46%	-0.13	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	27.1	14.8	22.2	2.3	36.5	130.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +39.9%

MIN -10.2%

PHX +12.2%

PHX +12.3%

MIN -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	14.9	15.2	89.7	86.9	101.7
season	14.8	15.1		101.4	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.1	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	13.5	14.8	15.8	14.5
MIN	13.4	17.8	12.9	16.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Johnson	36	36	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.60	7	-6	13	14.7	14.3	0.47	16.0	14.3	1.64
Rodney Rogers	64	64	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.54	8	-7	15	14.2	15.0	-0.78	15.1	14.6	0.51
Anfernee Hardaway	87	89	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-5	11	14.7	12.6	2.07	14.9	15.5	-0.63
Clifford Robinson	90	93	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-3	7	14.6	12.6	2.03	15.0	14.5	0.46
Todd Day	44	46	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.59	0	1	-1	14.8	14.2	0.67	14.7	15.2	-0.48
Don MacLean	7	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.00	-3	4	-7	12.6	14.6	-2.03	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Luc Longley	37	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	2	-3	14.8	14.2	0.53	15.6	14.5	1.10
Randy Livingston	35	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.12	0	1	-1	14.5	14.4	0.05	16.1	14.2	1.84
Oliver Miller	42	43	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.06	-7	8	-15	13.3	15.3	-1.98	13.9	15.7	-1.77
Shawn Marion	43	43	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.02	-9	10	-19	14.6	14.4	0.23	13.6	15.9	-2.34

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	29	26	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-4	7	14.6	15.1	-0.44	13.3	14.9	-1.51
Rasho Nesterovic	31	31	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-5	9	14.3	15.2	-0.93	14.9	14.2	0.71
Dean Garrett	25	25	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	1	-3	17.3	14.1	3.14	13.2	14.9	-1.64
Sam Mitchell	27	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.19	-8	7	-15	16.7	14.2	2.49	13.4	14.8	-1.42
Anthony Peeler	29	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.15	-8	7	-15	16.8	14.2	2.59	12.8	15.1	-2.29
Malik Sealy	70	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.64	7	-8	15	14.2	16.8	-2.59	15.1	12.8	2.29
Wally Szczerbiak	72	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.66	7	-8	15	14.2	16.7	-2.49	14.8	13.4	1.42
Kevin Garnett	86	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-2	3	14.7	16.6	-1.94	14.7	12.9	1.78
Terrell Brandon	70	71	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.54	-4	3	-7	15.1	14.6	0.44	14.9	13.3	1.51
Joe Smith	56	55	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.52	-5	4	-9	14.6	15.3	-0.70	14.3	14.6	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 96, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.61,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.58,0	93.5%
UTA 116, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.61,0.46,0.33,0.28,0	92.9%
PHX 91, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.16,0	92.2%