NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	7.0 [444]		MVP	Ruben Patterson (MIL): +10.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	93		Comeback	15.5 [239]		LVP	Earl Boykins (MIL): -19.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	8	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.17	-0.09	0.02	28	61%	0.14	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Greg Buckner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Josh Howard	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,0	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	13	42%	0.15	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.06,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	5	72%	0.11	5	-0.12	8	87%	0.04
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.02	11	65%	0.14	2	-0.03	9	67%	-0.11
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.00	7	69%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lynn Greer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	19	36%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-0.03	12	41%	-0.13	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	33.2	16.3	27.4	2.4	36.3	145.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.2%

DAL +0.2%

DAL +29.6%

MIL -13.1%

MIL -13.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.4	17.6	15.4	110.0	103.3	104.5
season	16.3	15.2		108.7	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		109.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.8	16.1	14.1	12.7	14.4
MIL	16.5	17.4	18.6	17.8	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	69	72	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.21	21	-15	36	14.6	13.8	0.86	18.0	16.0	1.97
Erick Dampier	48	51	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.37	12	-6	18	14.7	14.1	0.57	18.1	16.8	1.29
Dirk Nowitzki	79	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-6	18	14.2	16.4	-2.21	17.8	16.0	1.80
Josh Howard	71	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.37	6	0	6	14.7	13.3	1.47	17.6	17.4	0.17
Jerry Stackhouse	50	48	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-3	12	12.5	16.8	-4.32	17.9	17.3	0.59
Greg Buckner	33	31	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	1	4	13.5	15.0	-1.53	17.8	17.5	0.35
Austin Croshere	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	10	-14	13.7	14.5	-0.84	16.0	17.8	-1.75
Devean George	41	39	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.04	-7	13	-20	16.0	13.1	2.94	17.1	17.9	-0.79
DeSagana Diop	21	20	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	19	-32	17.0	13.7	3.30	16.5	17.9	-1.32
Devin Harris	29	27	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.03	-11	17	-28	14.0	14.6	-0.57	15.9	18.3	-2.36

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	41	41	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.02	10	-16	26	17.3	17.8	-0.43	14.1	14.7	-0.55
David Noel	22	23	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-10	14	17.1	17.7	-0.58	15.3	14.1	1.13
Lynn Greer	5	6	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.06	7	-13	20	16.0	17.7	-1.67	9.8	14.7	-4.92
Ersan Ilyasova	19	19	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.03	2	-8	10	16.1	18.0	-1.87	18.1	13.4	4.67
Brian Skinner	28	27	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	10	-26	19.1	16.9	2.22	13.0	15.0	-2.08
Andrew Bogut	79	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-3	0	17.5	18.0	-0.48	14.9	11.2	3.76
Ruben Patterson	79	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	1	-8	17.4	18.9	-1.52	13.9	17.8	-3.87
Charlie Bell	43	43	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.49	-3	-3	0	17.0	18.1	-1.11	14.6	14.3	0.26
Earl Boykins	65	66	-0.58	0.09	-0.67	-0.29	-10	4	-14	18.0	16.6	1.35	13.9	15.8	-1.87
Mo Williams	69	68	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.19	-14	8	-22	18.0	16.0	2.00	14.6	13.7	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.27,0	94.1%
DEN 103, CHH 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	92.5%
MIA 98, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.65,0.27,0	92.4%