NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	16.2 [1]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +35.0%
Denver Nuggets	112		Comeback	5.7 [309]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -33.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.35	-0.05	0.38	-0.02	12	46%	0.44	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Luther Head	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.03	0.26	-0.00	15	65%	0.43	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	9	44%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.4,-0.34,-0.25,-0.29,-0.32,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.01	22	49%	0.14	2	-0.10	9	89%	0.18
Charles Hayes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.01	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Bonzi Wells	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	15	50%	0.09	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike James	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.34,-0.34	-0.08	-0.24	0.02	18	47%	-0.16	5	-0.18	2	50%	-0.07

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,0.24	0.24	-0.06	0.30	-0.00	8	37%	0.51	2	-0.27	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,0.01,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.16	-0.00	11	59%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.25,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	-0.08	0.23	-0.03	32	46%	0.37	5	-0.20	17	65%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.05	0.00	7	14%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	43%	0.05	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.05,0,0.08,0.24,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.07	-0.13	0.03	30	53%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.01	11	29%	-0.12	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.07	-0.17	-0.01	10	32%	-0.13	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.4	3.7	34.2	21.4	31.2	3.5	34.6	2.0	14.8	3.5	16.6	190.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +2.1%

HOU -13.7%

DEN +53.8%

DEN +4.4%

DEN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.4	95.7	100.0	105.7
season	16.2	13.3		104.6	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.4	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	14.5	14.9	17.5	14.7	16.7	15.6
DEN	15.5	12.8	12.5	16.0	19.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	100	98	0.36	-0.86	1.21	0.12	8	-9	17	16.0	13.0	2.97	15.4	11.9	3.54
Luis Scola	40	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	8	-17	15.8	15.4	0.37	12.8	16.0	-3.20
Aaron Brooks	30	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	4	-9	16.0	15.4	0.55	12.2	15.9	-3.71
Dikembe Mutombo	8	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	6	-13	17.7	15.4	2.35	11.3	15.2	-3.91
Rafer Alston	98	96	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.49	10	-11	21	15.4	16.7	-1.31	15.4	12.6	2.79
Mike James	16	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.11	-12	11	-23	17.1	15.3	1.74	11.0	15.5	-4.47
Shane Battier	87	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.59	6	-7	13	15.9	14.5	1.44	15.6	12.9	2.67
Luther Head	88	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.58	5	-6	11	15.4	16.1	-0.77	16.0	11.4	4.65
Bonzi Wells	60	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	0	-1	15.6	15.6	0.01	15.9	14.1	1.77
Charles Hayes	53	52	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.72	0	-1	1	13.7	17.1	-3.46	14.2	15.6	-1.42

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	46	53	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.62	4	-3	7	13.9	15.7	-1.77	15.6	15.5	0.08
Allen Iverson	109	113	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.47	6	-5	11	15.0	13.3	1.67	15.7	10.7	5.02
Linas Kleiza	25	30	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-11	23	11.8	15.9	-4.06	15.6	15.6	0.01
Anthony Carter	71	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.68	-5	6	-11	15.7	13.7	1.93	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Kenyon Martin	64	65	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	-1	3	14.1	16.1	-2.05	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Carmelo Anthony	99	100	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.43	-10	11	-21	15.3	12.1	3.26	15.2	17.8	-2.61
Marcus Camby	80	82	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	7	-13	15.7	13.2	2.52	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Eduardo Najera	66	70	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.33	2	-1	3	15.5	14.2	1.22	16.4	14.3	2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.63,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.92,0.54,0.26,0.46,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 113, BOS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.37,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.96,0.91,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.42,1	90.0%
PHX 87, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1	86.9%
WAS 88, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.76,0.89,0.85,0.85,1	86.8%