NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	113		Excitement	13.7 [5]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +32.0%
Boston Celtics	115		Comeback	10.4 [166]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -47.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32	0.03	0.29	0.00	16	56%	0.36	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.1,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.02	15	55%	0.09	2	-0.10	12	92%	0.19
Carlos Arroyo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.10	-0.22	-0.01	9	36%	-0.29	1	-0.02	7	14%	-0.26
Richard Hamilton	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.19,-0.17,-0.16,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.32,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.09	-0.27	-0.01	15	50%	-0.31	2	-0.04	18	72%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.45	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.45	-0.01	-0.43	0.01	24	52%	-0.18	3	-0.27	4	100%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.14	-0.00	12	63%	0.21	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.01	0.18	-0.02	16	61%	0.31	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.06,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	25	58%	0.14	0	0.00	15	93%	0.18
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	9	63%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.04	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.34,-0.34,-0.42,-0.42,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48	-0.48	-0.26	-0.23	-0.01	19	22%	-0.21	4	-0.27	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	31.2	16.7	31.3	2.4	37.3	1.5	18.2	1.8	16.6	183.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +62.4%

DET -16.7%

DET -4.4%

BOS +7.1%

BOS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	17.0	15.0	15.5	105.6	103.6	104.0
season	16.7	14.4		103.5	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.9		104.1	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	13.2	18.2	18.1	17.2	20.1	17.0
BOS	16.1	14.5	13.2	16.3	13.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	78	81	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.19	-1	-1	0	16.4	18.4	-1.98	14.3	17.0	-2.71
Darvin Ham	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	0	-2	0.0	17.1	-17.13	2.5	15.2	-12.72
Antonio McDyess	45	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-6	10	18.7	15.7	3.04	15.9	14.4	1.55
Carlos Arroyo	23	23	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	0	-2	19.4	16.3	3.08	15.8	14.8	1.05
Tayshaun Prince	96	101	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-7	12	16.7	19.5	-2.87	15.4	11.2	4.17
Ben Wallace	86	90	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	5	-12	15.8	21.7	-5.84	14.6	16.7	-2.13
Chauncey Billups	89	94	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.56	0	-2	2	16.9	17.5	-0.63	15.0	14.8	0.20
Rasheed Wallace	82	85	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.59	1	-3	4	17.4	15.5	1.89	15.2	14.2	0.99
Lindsey Hunter	35	34	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.37	-8	6	-14	17.7	16.6	1.02	15.0	15.0	-0.03

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	91	86	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.54	6	-4	10	14.9	15.5	-0.62	16.5	19.1	-2.64
Gary Payton	80	75	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.50	6	-4	10	15.1	14.7	0.39	16.0	19.2	-3.16
Paul Pierce	98	93	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.48	-3	5	-8	15.2	13.4	1.82	16.8	18.4	-1.68
Delonte West	29	29	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	0	2	15.8	14.7	1.13	18.5	16.4	2.12
Tony Allen	27	24	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-5	12	13.4	15.5	-2.09	15.7	17.3	-1.63
Raef LaFrentz	48	46	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-2	6	14.6	15.3	-0.61	15.4	18.2	-2.77
Marcus Banks	13	14	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	-3	8	13.4	15.2	-1.82	18.4	16.8	1.68
Mark Blount	54	54	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	8	-14	15.2	14.8	0.38	18.3	15.7	2.60
Al Jefferson	18	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	5	-8	15.8	14.8	1.01	19.3	16.4	2.86
Ricky Davis	78	77	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.08	-10	12	-22	15.2	14.6	0.59	17.3	16.0	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.37,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.96,0.91,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 111, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.63,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.92,0.54,0.26,0.46,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.58,1	90.0%
TOR 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	87.7%
LAL 88, CHA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.74,0	87.5%