NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	107		Excitement	10.9 [35]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +69.6%
Miami Heat	103		Comeback	11.5 [79]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -30.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.70	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.7	0.10	0.60	0.01	23	55%	0.72	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.15
Malik Allen	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.12	0.16	0.00	11	82%	0.32	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	4	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Josh Boone	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.12,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	11	42%	0.09	2	-0.10	4	25%	-0.07
Jamaal Magloire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.08,0.08,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	0.10	-0.12	0.02	18	60%	0.24	4	-0.29	12	75%	0.01
Antoine Wright	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	7	31%	-0.02	5	-0.29	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49	0.49	0.23	0.27	0.00	23	71%	0.57	3	-0.08	12	83%	0.02
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	-0.02	0.14	-0.02	17	47%	0.26	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	52%	0.05	1	-0.04	9	44%	-0.12
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	44%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	14	30%	-0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.6	2.0	28.0	15.4	30.6	1.8	37.3	2.0	21.5	167.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +35.6%

NJN +14.7%

NJN +31.9%

MIA -38.5%

NJN +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.5	15.4	109.2	106.2	105.7
season	15.4	16.0		101.8	99.0
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.3	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	16.1	17.0	17.0	16.5	11.7	16.1
MIA	16.6	17.3	15.7	17.1	15.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	66	65	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.37	11	-7	18	16.3	15.8	0.48	16.6	16.4	0.12
Josh Boone	61	61	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.46	3	1	2	16.2	16.0	0.21	16.4	16.8	-0.42
Vince Carter	90	89	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	0	4	16.0	16.7	-0.71	16.2	19.9	-3.66
Richard Jefferson	84	83	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	3	-2	15.8	17.9	-2.13	16.7	15.3	1.44
Jason Kidd	81	81	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	7	-10	15.7	17.9	-2.23	16.6	16.1	0.47
Marcus Williams	19	18	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.01	5	-1	6	17.6	15.7	1.83	16.4	16.5	-0.16
Darrell Armstrong	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	4	-4	15.0	16.2	-1.19	15.4	16.6	-1.17
Jamaal Magloire	4	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	6	-8	17.2	16.1	1.20	17.7	16.5	1.19
Sean Williams	26	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	4	-4	16.4	16.0	0.38	17.3	16.2	1.13
Jason Collins	21	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	2	0	17.4	15.7	1.69	16.1	16.6	-0.51
Antoine Wright	31	32	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	5	-6	15.7	16.3	-0.62	16.6	16.5	0.12

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Quinn	23	24	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.13	-2	-2	0	16.8	16.4	0.35	17.6	15.6	1.96
Shaquille O'Neal	64	66	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.27	9	-13	22	16.9	15.8	1.10	17.2	13.9	3.26
Jason Williams	55	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-7	10	17.1	15.8	1.33	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Daequan Cook	22	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-4	4	14.2	17.2	-3.02	15.1	16.3	-1.20
Dorell Wright	66	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-3	2	15.7	18.2	-2.42	16.4	15.5	0.88
Earl Barron	26	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	6	-16	16.9	16.4	0.56	16.8	15.9	0.94
Dwyane Wade	82	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	16.6	16.0	0.61	15.7	18.3	-2.55
Ricky Davis	67	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	4	-12	16.7	16.0	0.70	15.6	17.1	-1.49
Udonis Haslem	80	82	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.39	-8	4	-12	16.6	16.1	0.55	15.6	18.6	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.43,0.58,0.5,0.67,0.45,0.14,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 104, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.1,0.16,0	90.3%
NJN 101, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.89,0.83,0.71,0.46,0.55,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.16,0.09,0	89.3%
LAL 103, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.63,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.55,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.42,0	89.1%