NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	11.8 [17]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +37.1%
Orlando Magic	99		Comeback	8.2 [130]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -63.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.05	0.17	0.01	16	59%	0.26	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	9	48%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.04
Anthony Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.08	0.01	17	68%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	61%	0.06	1	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Todd MacCulloch	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	6	21%	-0.06	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.64	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.39,-0.5,-0.62,-0.68,-0.72,-0.64,-0.64,-0.64	-0.22	-0.41	0.01	19	32%	-0.36	6	-0.28	2	50%	-0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.37	0.37	0.10	0.28	0.01	13	64%	0.37	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	0.02	-0.00	9	40%	0.05	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.14	-0.00	13	38%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.06	-0.25	0.01	15	40%	-0.19	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.33,-0.33,-0.45	-0.45	-0.02	-0.42	0.00	33	53%	-0.19	5	-0.26	7	71%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.0	2.4	26.4	18.8	22.3	3.3	32.3	1.8	13.9	142.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +26.5%

ORL -0.5%

NJN +42.9%

ORL -19.9%

NJN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.6	96.2	97.1	102.3
season	14.7	14.6		101.4	104.6
opponent	15.8	16.0		103.3	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	14.3	16.2	13.9	18.2	14.7	15.4
ORL	14.5	14.3	14.3	17.8	17.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	49	46	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.46	14	-12	26	16.8	14.2	2.60	16.7	14.1	2.59
Aaron Williams	46	42	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.31	16	-14	30	16.5	14.6	1.95	16.8	14.2	2.53
Jason Kidd	86	84	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	1	0	15.0	17.5	-2.47	15.6	13.9	1.62
Keith Van Horn	79	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.54	-3	5	-8	14.7	17.6	-2.83	15.6	14.4	1.21
Kenyon Martin	86	84	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	4	-6	14.7	18.6	-3.89	15.5	14.0	1.55
Anthony Johnson	19	18	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	1	0	17.5	15.0	2.47	13.9	15.6	-1.62
Lucious Harris	42	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	-1	4	16.2	14.9	1.32	14.5	15.8	-1.32
Jason Collins	31	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	6	-10	17.6	14.5	3.07	13.6	16.0	-2.39
Kerry Kittles	42	42	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.04	-7	9	-16	14.4	16.1	-1.74	14.0	16.2	-2.25
Todd MacCulloch	45	46	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.09	-9	11	-20	14.1	16.4	-2.30	14.5	15.9	-1.37

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	26	26	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-7	12	14.0	15.7	-1.76	16.5	15.1	1.40
Don Reid	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	0	-2	14.2	15.3	-1.18	18.9	15.2	3.65
Andrew DeClercq	20	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	3	-8	14.4	15.5	-1.09	17.4	14.9	2.42
Mike Miller	73	75	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.29	5	-7	12	15.7	14.1	1.59	14.5	17.7	-3.20
Monty Williams	25	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	8	-18	14.2	15.6	-1.37	17.4	14.8	2.57
Tracy McGrady	87	89	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.47	8	-10	18	15.4	14.5	0.87	15.5	15.2	0.23
Jaren Jackson	15	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	8	-18	14.5	15.4	-0.87	15.2	15.5	-0.23
Darrell Armstrong	77	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.51	8	-10	18	15.6	14.2	1.37	14.8	17.4	-2.57
Troy Hudson	29	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	5	-12	14.1	15.7	-1.59	17.7	14.5	3.20
Horace Grant	73	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	15.9	13.6	2.36	14.9	16.7	-1.83
Pat Garrity	79	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	-1	0	15.4	14.9	0.52	14.8	17.7	-2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.89,0.83,0.71,0.46,0.55,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.16,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 104, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.1,0.16,0	89.8%
NJN 107, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.43,0.58,0.5,0.67,0.45,0.14,0.05,0	89.3%
PHI 85, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.45,0.28,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.08,0	88.7%