inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 104 Excitement10.4 [53] MVPDamon Jones (MIA): +19.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 102 Comeback4.7 [172] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -49.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damon Jones0.190,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.090.100.00779%0.1900.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0.110,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.010.110.001953%0.131-0.02729%-0.07
Eddie Jones0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.070.09-0.010.001460%0.0700.002100%0.01
Michael Doleac0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.01955%0.021-0.02250%-0.02
Rasual Butler-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0240%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.0020%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.110.01-0.120.00458%-0.1100.00475%-0.01
Dwyane Wade-0.490,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.27,-0.24,-0.32,-0.3,-0.57,-0.57,-0.49,-0.42,-0.43,-0.49-0.11-0.370.012647%-0.354-0.141090%-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,0,0,0.11,0.110.110.040.070.011571%0.295-0.18450%-0.08
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.00861%0.0600.00250%-0.02
Tierre Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jumaine Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.04-0.080.01856%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15-0.150.01-0.150.011250%-0.001-0.1500%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34-0.34-0.07-0.270.013058%-0.029-0.3313100%0.17
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.13.432.319.825.13.738.01.517.2167.1
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL -16.5%
LAL -8.9%
MIA +25.6%
MIA +61.1%
LAL -11.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIALALNBAMIALALNBA
this game17.016.415.5110.6106.2104.0
season15.715.7107.9105.8
opponent15.315.5108.8101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA15.414.819.220.316.217.0
LAL15.914.019.717.615.416.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Christian Laettner44450.73-0.230.970.537-51217.716.51.1816.316.6-0.30
Damon Jones75790.59-0.090.690.455-3816.917.6-0.6916.317.2-0.96
Dwyane Wade81820.55-0.050.600.434-2617.315.22.1816.814.52.28
Udonis Haslem65660.51-0.010.530.5102-216.618.1-1.5016.117.2-1.14
Eddie Jones89900.470.030.450.4702-217.115.81.3016.220.3-4.14
Shandon Anderson8100.040.46-0.41-0.0220216.017.1-1.1320.716.04.75
Michael Doleac910-0.020.52-0.53-0.0202-216.817.1-0.2818.316.22.07
Rasual Butler1010-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-24-614.817.3-2.5011.817.0-5.19
Keyon Dooling1917-0.090.59-0.69-0.01-35-817.616.90.6917.216.30.96
Shaquille O'Neal7071-0.230.73-0.96-0.14-35-817.116.80.2716.616.00.66

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Walton1616-0.03-0.470.440.06-31-416.516.40.0615.217.4-2.22
Brian Grant2019-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-3414.217.0-2.7815.217.5-2.35
Tierre Brown1312-0.08-0.420.340.01-31-414.916.7-1.7613.517.5-4.05
Brian Cook2724-0.11-0.390.29-0.141-3415.916.7-0.8315.517.6-2.11
Chris Mihm6364-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.25-20-217.015.51.5117.815.42.40
Kobe Bryant9089-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.450-2216.712.34.3916.919.0-2.08
Jumaine Jones8583-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.481-3416.317.3-0.9317.513.54.05
Chucky Atkins8482-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.45-1-1016.516.20.3217.513.54.05
Lamar Odom8281-0.550.05-0.60-0.43-42-616.814.52.2817.315.22.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.1,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 97, MIA 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.57,0.59,0.5,0.31,0.54,0.32,0.08,090.5%
NJN 107, MIA 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.43,0.58,0.5,0.67,0.45,0.14,0.05,090.3%
POR 108, CHA 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.83,0.54,0.39,0.11,0.02,0,090.0%