inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 97 Excitement10.5 [35] MVPDale Ellis (SEA): +12.7%
Miami Heat 91 Comeback3.8 [216] LVPVin Baker (SEA): -29.5%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dale Ellis0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.030.00875%0.1300.0000%0.00
Hersey Hawkins0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.030.08-0.030.02978%0.102-0.07560%-0.06
Aaron Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jim McIlvaine-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.01729%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Greg Anthony-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.0030%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Detlef Schrempf-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1-0.01-0.10-0.001750%-0.062-0.052100%0.02
Sam Perkins-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.27,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.01-0.120.001255%-0.082-0.055100%0.04
Gary Payton-0.150,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.10-0.040.011336%-0.121-0.03771%-0.02
Vin Baker-0.290,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29-0.04-0.26-0.001448%-0.242-0.05333%-0.05

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.00-0.00567%0.0400.002100%0.01
P.J. Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.02-0.021145%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.02-0.03530%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Marty Conlon00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duane Causwell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Murdock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00325%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.001532%-0.062-0.1110%-0.02
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17-0.170.02-0.22-0.031656%-0.053-0.1300%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.05-0.230.011450%-0.281-0.011250%-0.09
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29-0.29-0.01-0.270.002050%-0.183-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.62.526.417.827.22.733.81.514.5149.8
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.01.618.4157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +13.5%
SEA +15.0%
SEA +12.4%
SEA +6.8%
SEA +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEAMIANBASEAMIANBA
this game16.518.015.6105.498.9102.5
season15.315.8109.3104.7
opponent16.216.299.8102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SEA16.015.417.415.820.116.5
MIA16.719.617.719.814.118.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hersey Hawkins71690.74-0.240.980.3613-72016.715.90.8018.117.90.17
Gary Payton81830.62-0.120.740.3011-51616.417.4-0.9617.919.4-1.55
Sam Perkins53520.62-0.120.740.359-31216.816.20.5518.118.00.03
Detlef Schrempf74740.60-0.100.700.397-1816.815.31.4818.416.71.71
Vin Baker77750.58-0.080.670.358-21016.616.30.3017.619.9-2.33
Jim McIlvaine2929-0.020.52-0.54-0.0515-417.316.21.1518.617.80.84
Aaron Williams78-0.060.56-0.610.00-28-1014.916.7-1.8021.417.73.65
Greg Anthony3029-0.210.71-0.930.08-1016-2615.816.9-1.0717.318.4-1.12
Dale Ellis3841-0.380.88-1.25-0.17-713-2015.717.1-1.3817.918.1-0.21

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Strickland36320.18-0.680.860.180-6618.717.61.0716.516.5-0.03
Brent Barry32310.16-0.660.830.054-101417.318.4-1.1715.017.3-2.25
Eric Murdock23220.03-0.530.570.12-3-3019.717.52.2616.416.6-0.21
Marty Conlon44-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-7819.218.01.2617.016.50.50
Duane Causwell32-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-4225.017.87.1917.016.50.49
Voshon Lenard7881-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.26-71-818.117.50.6416.516.7-0.23
Dan Majerle7476-0.510.01-0.52-0.42-3-3017.420.6-3.1916.616.10.48
Tim Hardaway8180-0.530.03-0.56-0.41-4-2-217.720.3-2.5316.814.81.94
Alonzo Mourning8485-0.640.14-0.77-0.49-5-1-417.721.5-3.7916.418.1-1.75
P.J. Brown4547-0.700.20-0.89-0.37-115-1618.617.51.1817.315.81.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.57,0.59,0.5,0.31,0.54,0.32,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 102, CLE 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.35,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.9,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.23,0.09,090.5%
MIA 104, LAL 1020.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.1,0.16,090.5%
DEN 101, LAL 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.71,0.84,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.08,089.9%