NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	9.6 [74]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +65.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	95		Comeback	38.5 [19]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -28.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.66	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.66	-0.07	0.74	0.02	15	40%	0.73	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.06
James Posey	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	10	67%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	15	70%	0.21	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	1	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	11%	-0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.14	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,-0.18	0.03	-0.21	-0.00	19	50%	-0.06	2	-0.12	8	62%	-0.08

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.28,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.06	-0.00	17	69%	0.32	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	3	112%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	0.00	3	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.07
Jermareo Davidson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	9	52%	0.06	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28	-0.28	-0.09	-0.19	0.00	17	46%	-0.05	5	-0.23	5	80%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	32.4	15.5	29.3	2.5	38.0	145.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +15.3%

BOS +11.9%

CHA -7.9%

BOS +23.3%

BOS +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	17.8	15.4	107.9	108.0	105.7
season	15.6	15.8		108.0	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.9		107.8	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.1	13.5	14.5	15.1	14.7
CHA	19.9	17.3	16.2	18.3	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	69	69	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.54	5	-4	9	14.5	15.4	-0.86	17.5	18.9	-1.43
Ray Allen	76	76	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-8	17	14.8	14.5	0.22	17.9	17.7	0.19
Eddie House	35	35	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.66	-1	2	-3	14.1	15.1	-1.02	18.5	17.4	1.09
Paul Pierce	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.51	1	0	1	14.9	14.0	0.94	17.8	17.9	-0.15
James Posey	53	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.49	-4	5	-9	13.8	16.1	-2.23	17.1	18.8	-1.70
Kendrick Perkins	36	36	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	-4	9	16.1	13.8	2.23	18.8	17.1	1.70
Tony Allen	9	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	2	-3	13.4	14.9	-1.43	19.2	17.7	1.55
Brian Scalabrine	11	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	7	-13	16.4	14.5	1.86	18.6	17.7	0.87
Rajon Rondo	67	65	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.21	1	0	1	14.7	14.8	-0.12	17.2	19.7	-2.53
Scot Pollard	20	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.07	-4	5	-9	15.4	14.5	0.86	18.9	17.5	1.43

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermareo Davidson	27	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-5	9	16.1	18.6	-2.48	15.4	14.4	1.01
Primoz Brezec	46	48	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	1	-3	18.8	16.7	2.09	14.3	15.2	-0.86
Walter Herrmann	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-1	1	17.7	17.9	-0.13	12.2	15.4	-3.14
Matt Carroll	29	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	2	-5	16.8	18.3	-1.49	15.7	14.2	1.46
Raymond Felton	74	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.49	3	-4	7	17.5	19.6	-2.16	14.6	15.6	-1.08
Jason Richardson	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.51	3	-4	7	18.2	16.8	1.42	14.8	14.6	0.16
Jared Dudley	71	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-1	1	18.3	15.7	2.63	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Jeff McInnis	41	40	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.44	-5	4	-9	17.8	17.9	-0.09	14.8	14.7	0.17
Emeka Okafor	69	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.51	-5	4	-9	17.8	17.9	-0.08	15.3	12.8	2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.66,0.57,0.58,0	91.6%
DEN 102, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.58,0	91.1%
DAL 92, DEN 91	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.67,0.91,0	90.3%