inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 92 Excitement11.1 [31] MVPJim Jackson (DAL): +16.2%
Denver Nuggets 91 Comeback19.2 [38] LVPLaPhonso Ellis (DEN): -41.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jim Jackson0.160,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.160.010.12-0.042057%0.243-0.08989%0.00
Tony Dumas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00440%-0.0100.002100%0.02
Eric Montross-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.01560%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Fred Roberts-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Gatling-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.011353%0.172-0.21617%-0.20
Derek Harper-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Loren Meyer-0.080,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.01737%0.033-0.122100%0.01
George McCloud-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.090.01-0.100.001452%-0.081-0.013100%0.02
Jamal Mashburn-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.12-0.06-0.00625%-0.102-0.08450%-0.03
Jason Kidd-0.210,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21-0.11-0.11-0.011132%-0.113-0.0900%0.00
Oliver Miller-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22-0.09-0.13-0.00633%-0.103-0.1200%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Murdock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.050.00487%0.131-0.0400%0.00
Sarunas Marciulionis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.00958%0.082-0.08683%0.02
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.01845%-0.0200.00475%0.01
Ricky Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00356%-0.011-0.043100%0.02
LaSalle Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.0000%0.001-0.0500%0.00
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.060.00558%-0.023-0.082100%0.03
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.020.011543%0.032-0.145100%0.06
Dale Ellis0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.13-0.05-0.02927%-0.072-0.09450%-0.03
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.10-0.070.00933%-0.112-0.06333%-0.04
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.41-0.41-0.22-0.27-0.081644%-0.096-0.331669%-0.12
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.61.828.015.728.11.736.5134.3
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +22.5%
DEN -31.6%
DAL +23.5%
DAL +2.6%
DAL +33.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDENNBADALDENNBA
this game15.513.615.692.093.8104.4
season15.915.299.1102.3
opponent15.315.7108.8105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.415.514.518.915.5
DEN13.514.514.312.113.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kidd66650.87-0.371.230.4813-122515.515.6-0.1213.913.10.85
George McCloud69670.81-0.311.130.5210-91915.415.8-0.3813.813.30.48
Chris Gatling48470.74-0.240.990.518-71514.816.2-1.4213.313.9-0.56
Jim Jackson78760.67-0.170.840.467-61315.615.30.2513.613.9-0.35
Oliver Miller53490.360.140.220.39-12-315.215.9-0.7612.814.5-1.72
Eric Montross47480.140.36-0.230.053-2515.915.20.7614.512.81.72
Loren Meyer44430.080.42-0.350.0510115.815.20.5914.912.62.34
Tony Dumas2221-0.170.67-0.840.01-67-1315.315.6-0.2513.913.60.35
Jamal Mashburn2828-0.260.76-1.010.01-910-1916.515.11.3314.113.40.62
Derek Harper3432-0.370.87-1.23-0.01-1213-2515.615.50.1213.113.9-0.85
Fred Roberts119-0.370.87-1.25-0.11-910-1915.715.50.246.414.4-7.92

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sarunas Marciulionis39390.35-0.851.20-0.0012-132512.414.5-2.1215.615.50.09
Eric Murdock28290.29-0.791.080.039-101913.213.8-0.6315.915.40.50
Ricky Pierce21230.08-0.580.670.051-2313.013.8-0.7413.916.0-2.07
LaSalle Thompson10100.02-0.520.540.020-1111.013.9-2.9311.715.9-4.23
LaPhonso Ellis6669-0.01-0.490.49-0.4816-173313.513.9-0.4015.515.50.08
Antonio McDyess3535-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.00-1514-2913.813.50.3115.415.6-0.13
Ervin Johnson8386-0.570.07-0.64-0.48-32-514.011.62.3216.012.73.25
Bryant Stith7475-0.630.13-0.76-0.48-54-913.513.9-0.3716.014.21.80
Mark Jackson6971-0.790.29-1.08-0.50-109-1913.813.20.6315.415.9-0.50
Dale Ellis6063-0.800.30-1.10-0.51-109-1914.811.82.9815.515.50.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.67,0.91,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 90, IND 860.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.73,091.0%
CLE 86, TOR 850.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.71,0.68,0.73,090.4%
BOS 96, CHA 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.84,090.3%