NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	5.9 [604]		MVP	Yi Jianlian (MIL): +18.3%
Houston Rockets	104		Comeback	1.3 [1122]		LVP	Mo Williams (MIL): -11.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yi Jianlian	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.08	-0.02	12	68%	0.24	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	47%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	73%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	11	36%	0.01	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Bobby Simmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	8	19%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.06	-0.09	0.07	22	48%	-0.10	0	0.00	10	100%	0.04
Mo Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	13	38%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	16	61%	0.22	2	-0.04	14	100%	0.05
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.01	13	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.04	8	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	18	55%	0.15	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	10	37%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	10	24%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	27.6	15.0	26.2	1.8	32.2	128.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.5%

HOU +0.7%

HOU +11.1%

HOU +1.4%

HOU +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	HOU	NBA	MIL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	15.4	94.6	113.0	105.7
season	15.8	16.2		103.4	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.2		100.3	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.4	15.0	15.0	16.5	15.5
HOU	15.2	16.3	15.0	16.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	45	44	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-21	26	14.2	16.7	-2.49	15.9	15.4	0.49
Dan Gadzuric	20	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-12	8	15.3	15.5	-0.14	14.4	16.0	-1.56
Andrew Bogut	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-10	4	14.9	16.3	-1.44	16.3	14.8	1.44
Michael Ruffin	18	17	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-10	4	17.4	15.0	2.39	15.2	15.8	-0.54
Bobby Simmons	15	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-6	-4	15.3	15.5	-0.23	13.4	16.2	-2.78
Charlie Villanueva	28	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-6	-4	15.9	15.3	0.62	15.5	15.8	-0.27
Yi Jianlian	65	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-8	0	16.3	13.4	2.91	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Michael Redd	84	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-9	2	15.1	19.1	-4.04	15.7	15.0	0.75
Mo Williams	85	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-2	-12	15.6	14.4	1.19	15.9	13.1	2.79
Charlie Bell	50	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.05	-20	4	-24	15.8	15.1	0.69	16.0	15.3	0.71

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	53	53	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	-3	22	16.1	15.2	0.90	15.8	15.1	0.68
Mike James	39	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	4	8	15.2	16.0	-0.81	16.8	14.4	2.44
Yao Ming	78	78	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.00	13	3	10	15.5	16.4	-0.89	14.8	19.1	-4.30
Tracy McGrady	70	72	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	6	4	15.6	16.0	-0.37	15.6	15.0	0.60
Luther Head	28	29	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	6	4	15.7	15.6	0.11	17.6	14.5	3.04
Shane Battier	79	78	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	8	0	15.8	15.0	0.78	14.4	21.1	-6.68
Luis Scola	18	19	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	9	-2	13.9	16.1	-2.22	16.4	15.2	1.14
Rafer Alston	54	53	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.00	4	12	-8	16.0	15.2	0.83	14.6	16.6	-2.08
Charles Hayes	41	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	19	-22	16.1	15.3	0.76	16.1	14.9	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, CHH 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,1	94.0%
IND 72, CHH 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.4%
CLE 82, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%