NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	98		Excitement	7.1 [367]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +22.0%
Charlotte Hornets	104		Comeback	1.3 [756]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -33.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	6	108%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	17	65%	0.20	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	10	46%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Nate McMillan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	6	42%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23	-0.04	-0.17	0.02	16	57%	-0.12	3	-0.10	12	42%	-0.14

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.14	-0.00	16	67%	0.28	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.04
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.04	-0.00	14	76%	0.22	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.02	7	54%	0.05	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.05
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	72%	0.09	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.05	0.00	10	48%	0.01	6	-0.21	5	40%	-0.05
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.24,-0.33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.14	0.02	11	42%	-0.07	7	-0.26	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	0.3	26.1	15.6	27.3	1.7	40.0	135.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +11.9%

CHH +19.7%

CHH +43.4%

SEA -29.5%

CHH +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CHH	NBA	SEA	CHH	NBA
this game	14.6	16.4	15.6	104.3	113.0	102.5
season	15.3	15.7		109.3	104.0
opponent	15.9	16.2		102.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.6	16.0	12.0	14.2	14.6
CHH	16.9	16.8	16.8	15.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	8	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	0	-6	16.5	14.4	2.07	13.1	16.6	-3.50
Jim McIlvaine	33	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-5	4	14.8	14.5	0.33	17.8	15.6	2.20
Sam Perkins	46	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-8	10	14.7	14.5	0.22	16.4	16.3	0.13
Vin Baker	79	80	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.42	9	-15	24	14.5	15.1	-0.55	16.2	17.3	-1.10
Nate McMillan	24	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	2	-10	13.4	15.0	-1.60	16.6	16.3	0.27
Aaron Williams	10	8	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	5	-16	16.5	14.4	2.12	19.5	16.1	3.42
Dale Ellis	47	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	2	-10	14.5	14.7	-0.28	15.7	17.0	-1.30
Hersey Hawkins	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-5	4	14.7	14.4	0.31	16.2	16.9	-0.69
Gary Payton	85	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-3	0	14.2	18.2	-4.00	16.2	18.0	-1.77
Detlef Schrempf	70	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-3	0	14.9	13.7	1.26	16.5	16.0	0.52

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	82	83	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-6	18	16.6	14.3	2.33	15.0	11.3	3.78
Glen Rice	83	85	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	6	-6	16.5	15.1	1.41	15.0	11.2	3.74
Corey Beck	15	15	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	-9	24	18.9	15.9	3.05	15.8	14.4	1.42
Bobby Phills	64	64	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	3	0	15.3	18.8	-3.46	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Matt Geiger	76	77	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	8	-10	16.0	18.3	-2.34	14.2	16.6	-2.42
Vernon Maxwell	37	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-3	12	17.9	15.4	2.53	14.2	14.9	-0.73
David Wesley	78	80	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.39	-8	14	-22	15.7	20.3	-4.61	14.3	16.5	-2.22
Vlade Divac	25	27	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	5	-4	17.4	16.0	1.45	14.8	14.5	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.0%
VAN 92, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	93.7%
IND 72, CHH 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.2%