NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	72		Excitement	5.8 [642]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +5.5%
Charlotte Hornets	82		Comeback	1.8 [780]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -22.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.03	0.06	20	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	19	55%	0.05	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	9	35%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	8	39%	-0.12	3	-0.07	12	42%	-0.08

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.08	-0.01	9	42%	0.04	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	13	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	0.04	23	46%	-0.06	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.20	-0.05	-0.03	13	19%	-0.18	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.4	32.3	15.7	27.8	1.8	28.0	130.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +9.5%

IND -1.6%

CHH +26.9%

CHH +11.5%

CHH +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHH	NBA	IND	CHH	NBA
this game	16.6	16.1	15.5	81.8	93.2	100.9
season	15.9	15.8		99.3	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.6		97.0	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.2	17.3	15.2	16.7	16.6
CHH	14.8	14.6	16.9	18.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	16	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-14	18	13.2	17.3	-4.16	16.9	15.9	1.00
Jonathan Bender	16	17	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-11	12	16.1	16.7	-0.65	15.1	16.4	-1.26
Zan Tabak	36	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-6	2	17.2	16.1	1.12	15.5	16.5	-1.04
Austin Croshere	16	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-1	-8	17.9	16.3	1.57	14.7	16.4	-1.69
Derrick McKey	26	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	0	-10	18.1	16.0	2.16	14.5	16.8	-2.32
Sam Perkins	37	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-6	2	17.3	16.1	1.17	16.4	15.9	0.52
Reggie Miller	82	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-5	0	16.3	20.3	-4.02	16.3	14.0	2.29
Jalen Rose	79	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-4	-2	16.3	18.8	-2.44	16.2	15.7	0.52
Travis Best	58	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	0	-10	16.8	16.2	0.59	16.9	14.6	2.33
Jermaine O'Neal	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	-3	-4	16.4	17.7	-1.34	16.3	14.9	1.42

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-2	14	16.1	16.1	0.06	16.2	19.0	-2.79
Baron Davis	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-1	12	16.6	14.0	2.61	16.6	16.4	0.22
P.J. Brown	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	1	8	16.8	14.2	2.60	16.9	15.7	1.27
David Wesley	56	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	5	0	17.2	14.3	2.82	16.8	16.2	0.61
Elden Campbell	59	58	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	5	0	17.4	13.7	3.70	16.6	16.5	0.14
Jamaal Magloire	29	30	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	5	0	13.7	17.4	-3.70	16.5	16.6	-0.14
Eddie Robinson	44	45	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	7	-4	14.8	17.5	-2.64	17.0	16.2	0.75
Otis Thorpe	23	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	9	-8	14.2	16.8	-2.60	15.7	16.9	-1.27
Eldridge Recasner	16	17	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	11	-12	14.0	16.6	-2.61	16.4	16.6	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,1	93.8%
NYK 70, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
SAS 90, NOP 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.76,0.82,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%