NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	70		Excitement	5.2 [766]		MVP	LaPhonso Ellis (ATL): +12.9%
Atlanta Hawks	83		Comeback	1.9 [459]		LVP	Chris Crawford (ATL): -16.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	18	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	17	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	17	42%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
John Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.04	-0.04	12	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	11	71%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	-0.02	10	23%	-0.08	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	26.0	15.6	23.5	2.6	31.0	125.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.6%

ATL +9.4%

ATL +18.1%

NYK -23.3%

ATL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	16.6	17.3	15.2	82.4	97.6	101.7
season	16.1	15.4		100.0	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.8		105.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	17.7	16.3	16.7	16.6
ATL	15.0	15.8	18.9	20.1	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	72	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-8	3	16.2	18.5	-2.30	17.9	13.8	4.03
Chris Dudley	12	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.12	-11	-2	-9	17.7	16.4	1.26	12.0	18.1	-6.08
Larry Johnson	65	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-10	7	16.4	17.0	-0.60	18.4	13.5	4.92
Patrick Ewing	73	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-11	9	16.4	17.7	-1.26	17.5	16.1	1.41
John Wallace	16	18	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	20.1	15.8	4.28	15.4	17.8	-2.42
Allan Houston	73	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	16.4	17.7	-1.26	17.4	16.8	0.53
Latrell Sprewell	75	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	-3	-7	16.1	20.3	-4.21	17.5	15.9	1.58
Kurt Thomas	39	37	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	2	-17	17.3	16.0	1.38	15.8	18.5	-2.67

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	46	46	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.02	25	-12	37	17.4	17.2	0.16	17.4	15.6	1.80
Isaiah Rider	45	44	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.02	20	-7	27	15.8	18.9	-3.13	16.9	16.2	0.67
Lorenzen Wright	22	22	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	0	13	14.5	18.3	-3.71	19.0	15.7	3.32
Jason Terry	69	69	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	3	7	17.3	17.1	0.21	16.5	17.1	-0.58
Alan Henderson	71	71	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	6	1	17.3	17.1	0.27	16.1	19.1	-3.06
Bimbo Coles	16	16	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	10	-7	17.1	17.3	-0.21	17.1	16.5	0.58
Dikembe Mutombo	67	66	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	15	-17	18.3	13.6	4.74	16.1	18.2	-2.09
Chris Crawford	39	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	16	-19	16.5	18.0	-1.44	16.1	17.0	-0.83
Jim Jackson	50	51	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	21	-29	19.0	14.9	4.05	16.2	17.2	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 72, CHH 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.7%
CLE 96, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.85,1	93.7%
BOS 86, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.98,1,1	93.7%