NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	6.7 [484]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +11.5%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	1.7 [1227]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -20.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.03	18	65%	0.17	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	12	61%	0.10	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Christian Eyenga	-0.01	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.01	15	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	56%	0.04	1	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Jamario Moon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manny Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	10	35%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	23	38%	-0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	16	59%	0.22	2	-0.11	7	100%	0.05
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	6	69%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	15	45%	-0.01	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.18,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	11	50%	-0.03	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	31.2	17.4	24.8	2.0	32.4	135.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +16.0%

DAL +16.4%

DAL +29.7%

CLE -15.6%

DAL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DAL	NBA	CLE	DAL	NBA
this game	13.3	16.0	15.5	95.0	103.1	105.7
season	15.1	15.7		100.8	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.8	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.7	13.8	13.4	12.4	13.3
DAL	16.3	17.0	13.8	17.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamario Moon	37	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-6	9	13.0	13.5	-0.52	16.2	15.8	0.34
Ramon Sessions	86	82	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.32	8	-11	19	12.2	19.7	-7.45	16.0	16.0	-0.02
Manny Harris	10	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	4	-11	19.4	12.7	6.74	17.3	15.8	1.49
Ryan Hollins	31	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	1	-5	13.8	13.1	0.69	16.9	15.6	1.29
Joey Graham	10	9	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	6	-15	17.6	12.9	4.74	17.8	15.8	1.98
Antawn Jamison	83	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-8	13	12.9	15.4	-2.51	15.6	17.8	-2.17
JJ Hickson	78	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-5	7	13.1	14.2	-1.15	15.8	16.5	-0.73
Anthony Parker	70	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.53	5	-8	13	12.7	14.8	-2.09	15.9	16.2	-0.27
Daniel Gibson	41	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	8	-19	15.2	12.1	3.10	15.7	16.1	-0.40
Christian Eyenga	59	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	4	-11	13.6	13.0	0.64	15.9	16.1	-0.21

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	38	40	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.08	22	-19	41	15.2	16.5	-1.32	15.7	11.8	3.89
Jason Terry	66	70	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-6	15	16.1	15.7	0.45	13.3	13.4	-0.13
Shawn Marion	55	57	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-9	21	15.6	16.4	-0.80	13.4	13.2	0.22
Jose Juan Barea	43	46	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-12	27	15.8	16.2	-0.38	15.1	11.8	3.31
Jason Kidd	70	73	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.49	-9	12	-21	16.0	15.9	0.08	12.6	15.1	-2.46
Peja Stojakovic	38	40	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	1	1	15.8	16.1	-0.27	15.2	12.1	3.10
Brian Cardinal	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	5	-7	14.3	16.1	-1.83	13.7	13.3	0.42
Tyson Chandler	64	67	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.47	-16	19	-35	16.4	15.2	1.23	12.3	15.3	-2.92
Dirk Nowitzki	64	68	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.28	-10	13	-23	16.5	15.0	1.47	11.8	16.5	-4.69
DeShawn Stevenson	35	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.16	-8	11	-19	16.2	15.9	0.35	12.3	13.9	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 70, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
BOS 91, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.96,1,1	93.5%
SAS 90, NOP 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.76,0.82,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%