inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 91 Excitement5.9 [611] MVPJoe Johnson (ATL): +14.3%
Atlanta Hawks 100 Comeback2.2 [701] LVPRajon Rondo (BOS): -21.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.090.21-0.030.091581%0.173-0.081392%0.05
Tony Allen0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.030.013100%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Glen Davis0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.03-0.00267%0.0500.002100%0.02
Kendrick Perkins0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.030.00467%0.071-0.024100%0.02
Brian Scalabrine-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ray Allen-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.021333%-0.041-0.0210%-0.01
Kevin Garnett-0.070,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.030.021154%0.023-0.09683%0.03
Eddie House-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.0040%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Rasheed Wallace-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.00833%-0.053-0.07250%-0.02
Rajon Rondo-0.210,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21-0.18-0.06-0.031323%-0.134-0.0800%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.140.140.050.120.032255%0.182-0.045100%0.03
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.13-0.030.021672%0.204-0.127100%0.04
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.01-0.00575%0.051-0.02250%-0.02
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00647%0.0100.00367%-0.01
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.01-0.011148%0.031-0.021100%0.01
Mario West00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00540%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.100.02-0.031041%0.024-0.07944%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.41.829.415.838.22.432.3151.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +46.5%
BOS -10.1%
ATL +4.3%
ATL +11.6%
BOS -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSATLNBABOSATLNBA
this game16.015.015.397.8107.5106.0
season15.516.0105.7109.4
opponent15.815.7106.0102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.216.414.019.116.0
ATL13.013.615.318.815.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Garnett64650.06-0.560.62-0.2310-192915.317.6-2.2715.613.61.96
Kendrick Perkins46460.05-0.550.59-0.105-141915.716.3-0.6714.515.5-1.03
Paul Pierce75750.02-0.520.53-0.228-172514.920.7-5.8714.716.2-1.47
Ray Allen7172-0.12-0.380.25-0.213-121515.218.6-3.4715.114.60.46
Brian Scalabrine109-0.15-0.350.19-0.01-5-4-119.915.54.3815.614.90.64
Rajon Rondo8281-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.332-111316.114.81.3315.213.61.60
Eddie House1515-0.38-0.12-0.260.03-145-1915.216.1-0.9414.115.2-1.09
Rasheed Wallace5049-0.500.00-0.51-0.12-134-1716.215.70.5415.414.50.82
Glen Davis2425-0.570.07-0.65-0.02-1910-2918.415.23.2214.115.3-1.17
Tony Allen2828-0.620.12-0.750.02-2213-3519.414.54.8214.715.1-0.33

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Crawford77760.70-0.200.900.1120-113114.517.4-2.9716.414.42.00
Al Horford77760.53-0.030.550.3563315.512.43.0716.613.23.37
Marvin Williams55560.410.090.320.3527-515.813.72.1016.615.11.42
Joe Johnson82810.330.170.150.3018-715.610.55.0316.115.30.75
Josh Smith79790.310.190.120.2818-715.313.41.8215.518.5-2.96
Jeff Teague10100.140.36-0.21-0.0672511.315.4-4.1216.116.00.12
Zaza Pachulia29290.130.37-0.23-0.1610-11113.215.8-2.5215.916.0-0.13
Maurice Evans39390.120.38-0.26-0.1281713.516.1-2.6114.916.7-1.79
Mario West120.030.47-0.440.0018-73.015.1-12.1111.516.1-4.59
Mike Bibby1617-0.200.70-0.900.12-1120-3117.414.52.9714.416.4-2.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.96,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 106, PHX 1100.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.62,0.77,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,194.1%
CLE 96, DAL 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.85,193.5%
IND 90, TOR 1040.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,193.0%