NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	6.7 [481]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (PHX): +13.8%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	1.9 [913]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -31.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	3	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	21	56%	0.13	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.06
Danny Fortson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Pervis Ellison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Kenny Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	46%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.31	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.32,-0.32,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.14	-0.12	0.04	24	40%	-0.23	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	13	61%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	13	60%	0.12	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	8	53%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	16	41%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.08	5	-0.14	6	100%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	-0.01	13	51%	0.04	4	-0.15	17	88%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.0	31.3	19.7	30.3	2.6	34.2	143.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +68.4%

PHX +6.1%

BOS -15.6%

BOS -6.9%

BOS -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	14.1	15.2	105.0	107.8	101.7
season	14.7	14.8		102.4	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.1		96.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.7	15.0	12.6	16.1	14.3
PHX	15.7	13.3	13.5	13.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	24	23	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.11	11	-15	26	14.3	14.3	0.02	17.5	13.1	4.41
Doug Overton	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	14.0	14.3	-0.32	1.0	14.2	-13.19
Pervis Ellison	5	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	17.2	14.2	3.03	15.3	14.0	1.35
Eric Williams	56	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-2	0	13.1	15.8	-2.76	13.3	15.0	-1.71
Tony Battie	42	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	1	-6	12.3	15.8	-3.52	13.0	14.8	-1.73
Dana Barros	27	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-2	0	12.5	15.0	-2.45	11.8	14.8	-3.07
Kenny Anderson	78	80	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-7	10	14.7	13.0	1.65	14.2	13.4	0.89
Adrian Griffin	25	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	10	-24	14.1	14.4	-0.31	11.5	14.8	-3.29
Calbert Cheaney	38	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-5	6	15.8	13.4	2.32	16.1	12.8	3.23
Paul Pierce	79	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-6	8	14.8	12.5	2.26	14.9	10.7	4.21
Antoine Walker	85	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-1	-2	14.7	12.3	2.38	14.2	13.2	1.03
Danny Fortson	45	47	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	2	-8	15.2	13.6	1.59	13.1	14.9	-1.77

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	54	54	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-10	24	13.9	14.2	-0.28	15.3	13.2	2.10
Oliver Miller	56	59	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-3	10	13.7	14.4	-0.68	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Clifford Robinson	91	91	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	1	2	14.2	12.9	1.29	14.6	11.7	2.90
Anfernee Hardaway	82	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	8	-12	14.4	12.7	1.69	14.2	14.6	-0.39
Jason Kidd	88	88	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	5	-6	14.2	13.3	0.90	14.4	13.6	0.81
Shawn Marion	67	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	8	-12	13.8	14.5	-0.65	13.8	15.1	-1.31
Toby Bailey	30	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	-5	14	12.8	14.6	-1.83	13.6	14.6	-1.03
Randy Livingston	14	13	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	-1	6	13.3	14.2	-0.90	13.6	14.4	-0.81
Don MacLean	18	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	5	-6	12.9	14.3	-1.35	13.1	14.6	-1.44
Corie Blount	10	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	12	-20	19.9	13.4	6.48	14.7	14.3	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.62,0.77,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.96,1,1	94.1%
CHI 97, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.1%
POR 106, CHI 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,0.96,1	93.0%