inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 82 Excitement5.8 [651] MVPZydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +7.1%
Boston Celtics 91 Comeback1.1 [1067] LVPRicky Davis (CLE): -28.4%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.070,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.000.03979%0.091-0.021080%-0.00
Jason Kapono0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Mihm-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00950%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Kevin Ollie-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00233%-0.0200.002100%0.01
DeSagana Diop-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
J.R. Bremer-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.01427%-0.0300.003100%0.01
Ira Newble-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00217%-0.0500.00250%-0.02
Carlos Boozer-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.040.01657%-0.002-0.082100%0.01
Darius Miles-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.03-0.011239%-0.092-0.04757%-0.04
LeBron James-0.190,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.14-0.07-0.021236%-0.074-0.12450%-0.03
Ricky Davis-0.280,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.19-0.09-0.001628%-0.183-0.10450%-0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vin Baker0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.01-0.03959%0.071-0.01475%-0.00
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.001125%0.071-0.032100%0.01
Kedrick Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.000.002125%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.05-0.00-0.051252%0.042-0.04978%0.01
Tony Battie0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.020.011350%0.021-0.02475%0.00
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jumaine Jones0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.01445%-0.0300.00367%-0.01
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.000.021647%-0.051-0.02875%0.02
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.001136%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.010.01714%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.326.717.330.72.730.3131.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +30.9%
BOS +16.3%
CLE -15.8%
BOS +19.9%
CLE -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEBOSNBACLEBOSNBA
this game16.416.715.795.3103.4100.5
season15.714.499.899.5
opponent15.915.5102.1102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.617.615.017.716.4
BOS15.016.017.718.316.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kapono34-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-11139.016.7-7.6923.516.47.14
Ricky Davis6366-0.09-0.410.32-0.214-131715.319.6-4.3516.018.9-2.91
DeSagana Diop2323-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-7518.315.72.6316.516.7-0.22
Darius Miles6468-0.11-0.390.29-0.203-121515.618.7-3.1016.318.0-1.77
Carlos Boozer5355-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-7515.218.4-3.2116.117.7-1.62
LeBron James6467-0.24-0.260.02-0.21-1-8715.917.9-1.9416.517.2-0.67
Ira Newble1715-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-112-1319.815.64.1717.016.60.38
Kevin Ollie3029-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.06-101-1117.815.72.0718.715.72.99
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6163-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.16-7-2-515.618.5-2.9616.816.40.39
Chris Mihm3231-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.04-112-1319.414.64.7616.816.60.14
J.R. Bremer2019-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.09-101-1119.315.53.8217.916.31.55

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Williams43420.56-0.060.620.0617-82517.316.11.1717.415.51.93
Tony Battie56540.440.060.380.2372517.315.61.7116.915.61.26
Kedrick Brown30320.400.100.310.0213-41715.517.3-1.8419.114.94.21
Vin Baker67660.310.190.120.1654116.317.8-1.4816.217.2-1.02
Mike James58560.260.240.020.1736-317.714.82.8616.116.9-0.79
Mark Blount45440.200.30-0.090.0945-116.217.2-0.9415.717.2-1.56
Paul Pierce71670.170.33-0.150.26-312-1516.517.2-0.6915.818.6-2.84
Marcus Banks880.120.38-0.260.0336-316.516.7-0.2017.416.31.05
Jiri Welsch23220.120.38-0.260.0336-315.217.2-1.9816.816.30.48
Walter McCarty780.050.45-0.40-0.0127-515.016.8-1.8319.416.13.26
Jumaine Jones3231-0.140.64-0.780.12-918-2717.316.30.9913.717.9-4.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 82, POR 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
WAS 95, PHX 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.98,1,0.98,194.4%
MIL 97, DET 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.2%