inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 94 Excitement8.8 [166] MVPAntoine Walker (MIA): +21.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers 90 Comeback3.5 [251] LVPZydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -36.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antoine Walker0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.110.08-0.021191%0.294-0.0800%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.160.040.11-0.011254%0.1600.00475%0.04
Jason Kapono0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12,0.14,0.050.030.01-0.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,00.01-0.03-0.021246%0.0000.00475%0.01
Gary Payton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.02450%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.020,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.020.021365%0.154-0.17540%-0.04
Alonzo Mourning-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.01025%-0.022-0.05425%-0.02
Jason Williams-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15-0.11-0.06-0.01825%-0.042-0.12475%0.03
James Posey-0.280,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.11-0.18-0.02726%-0.232-0.05520%-0.08

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01-0.010.11-0.060.052164%0.174-0.181385%0.07
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01954%0.063-0.07875%-0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01530%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0010%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.01614%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.07-0.001547%0.023-0.1400%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2-0.20-0.04-0.140.021347%-0.162-0.04475%-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.24,-0.36,-0.36-0.36-0.13-0.25-0.021027%-0.303-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game30.93.832.019.424.92.841.92.517.2175.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.01.917.4141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +89.2%
CLE -18.5%
CLE -31.1%
MIA +12.0%
CLE -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game17.815.715.498.994.7104.5
season16.016.0102.4103.2
opponent15.615.699.6104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA19.915.317.021.514.017.8
CLE18.916.015.114.513.315.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kapono53540.79-0.291.090.4412-82015.820.3-4.4515.316.3-1.01
Eddie Jones77760.490.010.490.268-41217.718.2-0.4815.915.00.87
Alonzo Mourning23240.480.020.460.3640412.519.5-6.9413.116.6-3.44
Antoine Walker45440.430.070.360.208-41218.317.30.9316.015.40.65
Jason Williams56570.420.080.330.246-2818.516.71.8016.215.01.16
Udonis Haslem64650.380.120.250.44-26-817.817.60.2015.216.7-1.42
Gary Payton39380.080.42-0.330.14-26-816.718.5-1.8015.016.2-1.16
Shaquille O'Neal7170-0.160.66-0.82-0.07-37-1019.712.07.6816.812.64.20
James Posey4747-0.420.92-1.33-0.09-1115-2619.216.42.8815.915.50.35

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Scot Pollard19170.23-0.730.970.153-71014.715.9-1.2621.217.04.14
Eric Snow21200.19-0.690.880.25-2-2015.915.60.2115.718.3-2.63
Donyell Marshall2425-0.13-0.370.25-0.306-101614.216.2-2.0416.118.4-2.25
Anderson Varejao4845-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.10-62-815.016.4-1.3215.819.5-3.68
Daniel Gibson2726-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.06-84-1214.416.2-1.8013.719.3-5.57
LeBron James8686-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.403-71015.715.40.2818.411.66.87
Sasha Pavlovic8080-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.36-2-2016.113.52.5718.613.55.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas4042-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.32-40-417.514.43.0719.616.43.21
Larry Hughes7375-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.32-62-815.416.6-1.1718.016.81.24
Drew Gooden5759-0.560.06-0.62-0.44-40-416.314.81.4217.817.70.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.15,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.78,0.31,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 147, LAL 1410.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.16,091.1%
IND 99, PHX 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.16,0.0291.1%
GSW 118, TOR 1140.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.42,090.4%