NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	118		Excitement	9.4 [99]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +23.9%
Toronto Raptors	114		Comeback	2.6 [324]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (GSW): -45.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.24,0.24	0.08	0.16	-0.00	26	56%	0.27	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Earl Boykins	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	9	79%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jason Richardson	0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	18	57%	0.14	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
Jiri Welsch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	53%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Bob Sura	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	5	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.15	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	4	50%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.45	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.3,-0.3,-0.39,-0.51,-0.45	-0.22	-0.23	0.00	14	37%	-0.28	5	-0.18	12	92%	0.06

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.01	20	53%	0.21	1	-0.04	9	100%	0.28
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.02	0.06	12	79%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	87%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.10	0.00	21	43%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.14	0.04	17	41%	-0.23	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.31	-0.31	-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	5	17%	-0.09	3	-0.22	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	29.3	16.7	26.2	2.5	42.3	1.4	13.9	160.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +10.7%

TOR -15.2%

GSW +31.0%

GSW +17.8%

GSW +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	TOR	NBA	GSW	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	15.5	106.3	103.6	101.6
season	14.6	16.2		105.3	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		105.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	13.3	15.0	14.9	15.2	10.8	14.1
TOR	13.4	17.0	15.1	14.2	13.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	82	79	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.88	-4	8	-12	13.9	14.8	-0.88	14.7	14.5	0.22
Jason Richardson	81	81	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-5	14	13.9	14.7	-0.77	15.0	13.9	1.05
Antawn Jamison	89	89	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	-1	6	14.0	14.4	-0.38	14.6	15.2	-0.64
Gilbert Arenas	80	81	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	-5	14	12.8	17.5	-4.73	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Troy Murphy	63	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-6	16	14.7	13.4	1.25	15.1	14.0	1.08
Erick Dampier	28	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	-4	12	15.2	13.7	1.48	14.8	14.6	0.22
Bob Sura	56	54	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.30	-8	12	-20	13.5	14.7	-1.16	14.2	15.1	-0.92
Jiri Welsch	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	6	-8	0.0	14.2	-14.24	2.0	14.8	-12.79
Mike Dunleavy	31	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	13	-22	15.6	13.5	2.09	13.4	15.1	-1.72
Earl Boykins	46	45	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	7	-10	15.3	13.2	2.12	15.2	14.3	0.97

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maceo Baston	26	28	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.13	9	-13	22	12.7	15.3	-2.54	14.5	14.0	0.57
Voshon Lenard	80	81	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.57	19	-23	42	13.8	16.9	-3.06	14.3	13.7	0.56
Jelani McCoy	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-6	8	13.1	15.0	-1.86	17.3	13.4	3.98
Rafer Alston	21	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-4	4	13.6	14.9	-1.36	14.4	14.0	0.40
Morris Peterson	66	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.31	-14	10	-24	14.3	15.2	-0.85	12.7	16.4	-3.73
Alvin Williams	91	92	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-3	2	14.7	14.6	0.05	13.7	15.8	-2.09
Vince Carter	79	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	7	-18	15.4	12.9	2.42	14.2	13.8	0.46
Antonio Davis	90	90	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.41	-5	1	-6	15.0	13.1	1.86	13.4	17.3	-3.98
Jerome Williams	77	75	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.40	-19	15	-34	16.1	11.4	4.68	15.3	11.6	3.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 147, LAL 141	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.16,0	90.7%
MIA 94, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.15,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.78,0.31,0	90.4%
SAS 110, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.59,0	90.3%