NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	10.9 [25]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +31.6%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	2.6 [312]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -30.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0.32	-0.05	0.34	-0.03	20	44%	0.36	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	12	58%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	83%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	72%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Mark Pope	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08	0.03	-0.10	0.02	5	75%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.11
Antonio Davis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	3	42%	-0.09	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.08
Rik Smits	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.26	-0.12	-0.16	-0.02	18	38%	-0.23	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
Mark Jackson	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3	-0.08	-0.22	-0.00	12	44%	-0.20	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.01	5	75%	-0.00	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.14
George McCloud	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.01	17	53%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	9	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	21	51%	0.10	2	-0.20	7	43%	-0.06
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	10	62%	0.01	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	11	41%	-0.03	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	12	35%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	25.5	14.7	21.3	1.7	35.0	1.4	16.6	140.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.5%

IND +17.2%

PHX -17.2%

IND +23.4%

IND +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	15.6	15.6	97.1	93.3	102.5
season	16.0	15.0		105.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	16.1		100.0	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	13.4	15.8	15.3	14.9	21.8	15.3
PHX	14.8	14.2	14.0	17.0	24.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	29	29	0.83	-0.36	1.19	0.66	6	-4	10	15.3	15.2	0.11	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Mark Pope	19	21	0.68	-0.20	0.88	0.41	9	-7	16	15.3	15.3	-0.00	16.0	15.5	0.55
Jalen Rose	48	49	0.30	0.17	0.13	0.27	1	1	0	16.1	14.5	1.59	16.6	14.7	1.90
Travis Best	31	31	0.23	0.25	-0.02	0.20	1	1	0	16.1	14.9	1.24	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Reggie Miller	78	81	0.22	0.25	-0.03	0.34	-4	6	-10	15.1	15.7	-0.58	15.7	15.2	0.50
Rik Smits	61	66	0.20	0.27	-0.07	0.11	3	-1	4	15.8	14.4	1.38	15.3	16.2	-0.95
Chris Mullin	50	50	0.17	0.31	-0.14	0.08	3	-1	4	14.4	16.1	-1.77	14.4	16.7	-2.25
Dale Davis	56	56	0.02	0.46	-0.44	-0.01	1	1	0	14.4	16.3	-1.89	14.7	16.6	-1.89
Antonio Davis	67	65	-0.10	0.58	-0.68	0.16	-9	11	-20	15.7	14.5	1.19	16.6	14.0	2.57
Mark Jackson	71	72	-0.18	0.65	-0.83	-0.15	-1	3	-4	14.9	16.1	-1.24	15.9	14.8	1.10

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	65	66	0.42	-0.89	1.31	0.04	13	-15	28	16.1	14.8	1.26	15.9	14.1	1.74
Jason Kidd	82	81	0.27	-0.74	1.01	-0.03	10	-12	22	14.5	19.9	-5.46	14.6	17.9	-3.32
Hot Rod Williams	72	66	-0.03	-0.45	0.42	-0.15	4	-6	10	15.2	16.4	-1.16	15.7	14.6	1.10
Cedric Ceballos	15	16	-0.20	-0.28	0.08	0.04	-8	6	-14	14.7	15.8	-1.02	17.7	14.8	2.87
Clifford Robinson	31	32	-0.23	-0.24	0.01	-0.03	-7	5	-12	16.7	15.2	1.53	15.8	15.0	0.75
George McCloud	71	69	-0.32	-0.16	-0.16	-0.41	3	-5	8	16.0	14.7	1.29	14.8	16.2	-1.40
Steve Nash	54	55	-0.44	-0.03	-0.41	-0.24	-7	5	-12	16.7	14.4	2.25	15.6	14.9	0.65
Rex Chapman	85	83	-0.59	0.11	-0.70	-0.44	-5	3	-8	15.1	17.9	-2.80	14.4	18.9	-4.46
Antonio McDyess	38	36	-0.78	0.30	-1.08	-0.46	-11	9	-20	14.7	16.1	-1.41	14.7	15.6	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.16,0.02
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 147, LAL 141	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.16,0	91.4%
DET 112, CLE 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.24,0.35,0.26,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.16,0	91.3%
MIA 94, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.15,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.78,0.31,0	91.1%