NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	6.9 [458]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +34.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	111		Comeback	1.8 [785]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -10.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Etan Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	78%	0.15	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	22	46%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
DeShawn Stevenson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	6	36%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.03	25	48%	-0.00	2	-0.05	13	85%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.34	0.34	0.19	0.16	0.01	9	83%	0.41	3	-0.06	17	88%	0.08
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	-0.00	9	63%	0.23	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.07
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.04	12	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	4	90%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.03	0.01	18	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.05
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	12	50%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	26.1	15.7	29.4	2.5	46.6	147.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +39.2%

LAC +19.0%

LAC +10.4%

WAS -20.5%

LAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	13.8	15.4	15.4	106.1	113.3	104.5
season	14.8	15.7		107.8	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.3		103.6	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.7	18.0	12.5	12.0	13.8
LAC	17.0	16.2	14.1	14.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	55	56	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-8	10	12.2	15.9	-3.73	14.1	17.1	-2.95
Roger Mason Jr.	16	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-3	0	16.6	13.3	3.32	18.2	14.9	3.27
Darius Songaila	56	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-10	14	14.3	13.2	1.15	16.3	14.3	2.02
Brendan Haywood	39	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	1	-8	13.3	14.2	-0.88	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Etan Thomas	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.29	2	-8	10	15.7	12.2	3.47	18.9	12.5	6.44
Antonio Daniels	31	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-1	-4	15.9	12.9	3.01	15.8	15.2	0.61
Andray Blatche	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	4	-14	13.6	14.0	-0.39	15.0	15.7	-0.80
Jarvis Hayes	49	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-5	4	14.2	13.5	0.68	16.0	14.9	1.08
Gilbert Arenas	85	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	13.2	17.9	-4.76	14.5	21.3	-6.80
Antawn Jamison	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	1	-8	13.1	16.6	-3.54	14.3	19.4	-5.12

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	68	69	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-6	18	16.8	12.3	4.53	15.2	10.7	4.46
Jason Hart	68	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-10	26	15.1	16.1	-1.05	13.4	14.8	-1.41
Cuttino Mobley	86	86	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-2	10	15.0	18.5	-3.52	13.1	18.8	-5.76
Elton Brand	82	83	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	14.9	17.9	-3.02	12.8	19.1	-6.23
Corey Maggette	66	68	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	4	-2	16.0	14.2	1.81	14.3	12.9	1.41
Quinton Ross	28	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	9	-12	12.2	16.7	-4.47	13.4	14.0	-0.68
Aaron Williams	2	2	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	3	0	15.0	15.4	-0.42	19.5	13.7	5.78
Tim Thomas	57	57	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	11	-16	14.6	16.5	-1.90	13.2	14.7	-1.48
James Singleton	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	19.3	15.1	4.18	15.9	13.7	2.17
Daniel Ewing	26	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	13	-20	18.3	14.4	3.89	16.7	12.7	4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.96,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.65,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	93.6%
SAS 90, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.95,0.91,1	93.2%
DET 85, CHH 93	0.5,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.89,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	93.0%