NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	7.1 [410]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +21.5%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	1.4 [562]		LVP	Randy Foye (LAC): -26.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	11	71%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	8	78%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	13	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Ike Diogu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	16	53%	-0.04	5	-0.14	6	100%	0.04
Eric Bledsoe	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	-0.00	9	30%	-0.07	4	-0.15	5	60%	-0.03
Randy Foye	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.16	-0.10	-0.00	14	17%	-0.24	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.15	-0.01	21	53%	0.26	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.05
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.00	8	76%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	9	50%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Sonny Weems	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	8	45%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	18	41%	-0.01	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.7	29.6	16.8	31.8	0.2	41.5	149.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +19.5%

TOR +18.8%

TOR +1.7%

TOR +8.4%

TOR +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	TOR	NBA	LAC	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	15.5	101.1	105.4	105.7
season	15.4	15.1		104.4	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.3		111.2	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.0	14.2	15.7	15.1	15.5
TOR	14.3	15.8	14.9	17.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	7	6	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-7	9	12.3	15.8	-3.49	18.7	15.4	3.25
Al-Farouq Aminu	33	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-6	7	16.4	15.0	1.33	16.7	14.9	1.79
Ryan Gomes	56	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-1	-3	16.2	14.5	1.66	15.6	15.7	-0.12
DeAndre Jordan	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	1	-7	15.7	15.3	0.42	14.8	16.2	-1.36
Brian Cook	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	15.0	16.0	-1.02	16.2	14.9	1.31
Baron Davis	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-5	5	15.1	16.9	-1.81	15.8	15.2	0.54
Eric Bledsoe	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-4	3	15.4	15.9	-0.48	16.2	14.2	1.97
Randy Foye	74	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	4	-13	15.3	16.3	-1.02	14.7	19.2	-4.51
Blake Griffin	68	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	4	-13	15.9	14.4	1.54	15.2	17.2	-2.09

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrea Bargnani	78	78	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.26	13	-8	21	15.4	16.7	-1.24	15.9	13.6	2.29
Jose Calderon	71	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-6	17	15.0	17.7	-2.70	15.3	16.4	-1.08
DeMar DeRozan	83	81	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	2	1	15.3	18.4	-3.11	15.6	15.1	0.48
Leandro Barbosa	46	45	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	-1	7	16.0	15.2	0.83	15.7	15.3	0.44
Ed Davis	70	67	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.42	-5	10	-15	16.4	13.2	3.20	15.3	16.2	-0.95
Amir Johnson	25	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	-3	11	14.1	16.2	-2.11	16.4	15.1	1.27
Sonny Weems	42	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	4	-3	16.0	15.3	0.73	15.5	15.6	-0.09
Trey Johnson	15	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	15.1	15.7	-0.66	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Jerryd Bayless	22	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	11	-17	17.7	15.0	2.70	16.4	15.3	1.08
Joey Dorsey	13	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	11	-17	15.5	15.6	-0.10	12.4	15.9	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.65,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.93,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 105, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.96,0.9,0.99,1	93.6%
TOR 102, DAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.73,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
GSW 83, BOS 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.91,1	93.3%