NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	2.4 [1263]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +8.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	1.0 [1280]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -11.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	16	58%	0.04	2	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
David Harrison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	8	65%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	15	46%	0.00	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	53%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Orien Greene	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	11	27%	-0.07	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.17	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	-0.03	6	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	83%	0.10	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	15	64%	0.10	4	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.05	11	68%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	8	45%	0.04	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	22	53%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	7	19%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	31.5	15.6	27.1	2.5	34.4	136.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +43.7%

IND -2.5%

CLE +3.1%

CLE +7.8%

IND -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	15.4	93.6	106.5	104.5
season	15.3	16.0		101.3	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		99.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	15.8	15.2	13.1	15.2
CLE	15.1	14.8	16.8	15.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith McLeod	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	10.0	15.3	-5.33	17.7	15.5	2.14
Shawne Williams	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	10.0	15.3	-5.33	17.7	15.5	2.14
Orien Greene	20	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.36	8	-19	27	15.0	15.3	-0.27	17.0	15.2	1.76
David Harrison	32	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-14	17	14.7	15.5	-0.70	17.0	14.9	2.11
Darrell Armstrong	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-15	19	15.5	15.1	0.42	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Ike Diogu	46	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-9	7	14.6	15.8	-1.23	15.3	15.9	-0.54
Jeff Foster	40	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-3	-5	16.0	14.6	1.46	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Jamaal Tinsley	63	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	6	-23	15.4	14.8	0.61	15.3	16.1	-0.73
Troy Murphy	67	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	8	-27	15.7	14.1	1.60	14.7	17.7	-3.04
Danny Granger	80	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.09	-17	6	-23	15.3	14.9	0.42	15.2	17.9	-2.67
Mike Dunleavy	83	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	1	-13	15.1	16.3	-1.20	16.0	12.0	3.98

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	75	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.18	23	-12	35	15.0	18.0	-2.99	15.9	12.4	3.42
Drew Gooden	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	-8	27	15.0	17.2	-2.25	15.2	15.1	0.13
Larry Hughes	72	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-5	21	15.1	17.3	-2.25	15.1	15.4	-0.30
Sasha Pavlovic	59	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	4	3	16.3	14.3	2.00	14.6	16.2	-1.55
Anderson Varejao	50	51	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	9	-7	15.4	15.8	-0.41	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	46	47	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	2	7	15.9	15.3	0.68	15.4	15.0	0.34
Eric Snow	45	47	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.37	-8	19	-27	15.3	15.9	-0.63	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Donyell Marshall	22	22	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.33	-8	19	-27	17.2	15.1	2.08	14.9	15.3	-0.46
Shannon Brown	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	16	-21	17.4	15.0	2.40	15.6	15.1	0.55
Ira Newble	4	3	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	11	-11	17.7	15.5	2.26	16.0	15.2	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, MIA 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
UTA 84, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
DEN 71, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%