inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 97 Excitement2.1 [1223] MVPTim Hardaway (MIA): +5.9%
Miami Heat 125 Comeback1.0 [1049] LVPCedric Ceballos (PHX): -8.6%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rex Chapman0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.00967%0.041-0.00333%-0.01
Loren Meyer0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.080.000.071175%0.042-0.022100%0.01
Wesley Person0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02753%0.011-0.00367%-0.00
Rumeal Robinson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04575%0.0010.00250%0.00
Ben Davis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Manning-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.03762%0.011-0.022100%0.00
Steve Nash-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.050.000.07881%-0.003-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.01550%-0.012-0.03250%-0.01
Hot Rod Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.03217%-0.032-0.02250%-0.01
Mark Bryant-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.00933%-0.052-0.0200%0.00
Cedric Ceballos-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.031141%-0.053-0.04560%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.160.000.101375%0.0600.002100%0.01
Sasha Danilovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.041082%0.092-0.032100%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.021269%0.081-0.02580%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.001070%0.062-0.0200%0.00
Keith Askins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.044100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ike Austin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03560%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.04475%0.033-0.0100%0.00
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.130.000.12890%0.021-0.024100%0.01
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.043100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Martin Muursepp0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.090.00-0.09333%0.0010.00667%0.00
Willie Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ed Pinckney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.826.015.723.52.423.5115.9
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +39.7%
MIA +2.7%
PHX -2.1%
MIA +8.0%
MIA +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXMIANBAPHXMIANBA
this game15.414.915.6102.1131.6104.4
season14.615.8106.8103.1
opponent16.315.698.3106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHX16.714.416.114.415.4
MIA14.714.414.516.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Davis1414-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-293015.415.4-0.0115.314.90.40
Rumeal Robinson2828-0.05-0.450.400.07-4-242014.915.6-0.6216.014.51.44
Steve Nash4343-0.09-0.410.33-0.142-303213.317.1-3.8616.213.92.22
Danny Manning4848-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-252214.416.4-1.9715.414.50.82
Rex Chapman3635-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-242014.416.0-1.6214.615.2-0.60
Hot Rod Williams3735-0.30-0.20-0.100.26-19-9-1016.814.42.4114.415.3-0.87
Mark Bryant6768-0.32-0.18-0.140.18-17-11-614.816.7-1.9615.114.70.39
Cedric Ceballos5052-0.33-0.17-0.150.47-27-1-2616.913.73.1514.915.0-0.18
Loren Meyer5755-0.33-0.17-0.170.20-18-10-815.215.7-0.5314.815.1-0.35
Wesley Person4748-0.37-0.13-0.230.46-280-2817.113.73.4413.916.0-2.17
Kevin Johnson4849-0.40-0.10-0.300.28-23-5-1815.914.81.1114.615.3-0.69

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keith Askins48470.460.040.42-0.4832-43613.916.0-2.0417.413.44.03
P.J. Brown63610.370.130.23-0.312351814.415.9-1.4915.714.70.99
Alonzo Mourning61620.360.140.22-0.342442014.016.7-2.7816.313.62.65
Ike Austin42450.280.220.05-0.111315-214.815.1-0.3314.416.2-1.80
Tim Hardaway45450.260.240.03-0.291991014.215.6-1.4617.413.63.78
Voshon Lenard46450.240.26-0.01-0.281810813.816.1-2.3016.614.32.34
John Crotty50500.240.26-0.03-0.03919-1015.614.21.4613.617.4-3.78
Sasha Danilovic37390.200.30-0.09-0.091018-815.314.70.5314.915.7-0.76
Ed Pinckney28280.090.41-0.320.00325-2217.613.83.8213.716.1-2.35
Willie Anderson21210.000.50-0.500.03-129-3016.714.52.2114.015.7-1.70
Mark Strickland17160.000.50-0.500.15-533-3817.314.42.8612.416.0-3.60
Martin Muursepp17160.000.50-0.500.15-533-3817.314.42.8612.416.0-3.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 88, CLE 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,197.9%
HOU 94, OKC 1090.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
PHI 88, TOR 1200.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%