NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	71		Excitement	2.1 [1249]		MVP	Greg Buckner (PHI): +2.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.1 [1239]		LVP	Mark Blount (DEN): -10.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Satterfield	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	-0.00	0.10	11	79%	0.01	2	-0.01	7	71%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Yarbrough	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	6	58%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.02	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	6	27%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Mark Blount	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.03	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	6	21%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	69%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	19	55%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	7	40%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	28.1	15.4	24.2	1.8	34.2	128.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.7%

PHI +4.6%

DEN -6.5%

PHI +16.1%

PHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHI	NBA	DEN	PHI	NBA
this game	17.3	14.8	15.5	78.9	104.5	101.6
season	15.7	15.3		90.4	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.9	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	20.2	18.7	16.6	14.1	17.3
PHI	14.1	13.1	15.4	16.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Satterfield	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-29	36	7.8	19.0	-11.19	13.1	15.1	-2.08
Chris Whitney	33	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.01	-3	-19	16	19.2	16.3	2.85	15.3	14.6	0.72
Ryan Bowen	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-16	10	19.7	16.4	3.29	13.7	15.3	-1.59
Rodney White	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-15	8	16.4	17.8	-1.32	15.9	14.3	1.65
Vincent Yarbrough	22	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-13	4	20.9	16.2	4.72	16.1	14.4	1.72
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	31	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-19	16	13.5	19.3	-5.79	14.5	15.0	-0.42
Donnell Harvey	44	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-13	4	15.5	19.1	-3.52	15.7	14.0	1.66
Nene	49	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-21	20	14.8	20.4	-5.64	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Mark Blount	54	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-8	-6	17.4	17.3	0.06	14.7	15.0	-0.35
Juwan Howard	56	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.32	-21	-1	-20	19.6	13.6	6.08	15.3	14.0	1.33
James Posey	50	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-4	-14	19.0	15.3	3.64	13.6	16.4	-2.82
Junior Harrington	44	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.35	-26	4	-30	18.8	15.9	2.88	15.0	14.6	0.43

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	68	70	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.34	27	-5	32	15.3	13.3	2.01	18.7	12.7	5.97
Aaron McKie	56	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.25	24	-2	26	14.8	14.9	-0.14	19.6	12.8	6.87
Eric Snow	61	60	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.21	18	4	14	15.2	14.0	1.25	18.8	14.4	4.47
Todd MacCulloch	43	43	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	6	10	14.8	14.8	-0.06	20.3	14.7	5.62
Keith Van Horn	47	48	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.10	13	9	4	14.5	15.2	-0.66	19.1	15.4	3.73
Greg Buckner	56	56	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	14	-6	15.1	14.4	0.63	15.8	19.9	-4.08
Derrick Coleman	28	29	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.25	16	6	10	16.2	14.2	2.03	18.8	16.7	2.09
Brian Skinner	46	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	16	-10	14.8	14.8	0.06	14.7	20.3	-5.62
Art Long	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	29	-36	13.1	15.1	-2.08	7.8	19.0	-11.19
John Salmons	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	29	-36	13.1	15.1	-2.08	7.8	19.0	-11.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 71, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
IND 88, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	97.7%
BOS 67, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%