NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	84		Excitement	2.6 [1176]		MVP	Mark Bryant (PHX): +3.7%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	1.1 [891]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -10.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adam Keefe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	6	25%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Jeff Hornacek	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	12	61%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	0.00	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.16	0.00	-0.05	11	19%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	0.03	17	50%	-0.09	3	-0.02	10	80%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	6	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	81%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	41%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Horacio Llamas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	58%	0.00	3	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.02	3	-0.03	16	100%	0.04
Rex Chapman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	10	40%	0.00	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	28.2	15.6	27.2	2.4	28.5	129.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +43.5%

PHX +5.5%

UTA -3.7%

PHX +4.7%

PHX +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	17.3	13.4	15.6	89.4	112.8	102.5
season	15.9	15.0		108.1	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.9		100.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.8	20.6	14.7	17.7	17.3
PHX	13.2	13.7	13.0	13.6	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-18	14	14.7	17.5	-2.77	12.0	13.5	-1.45
Chris Morris	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-18	14	15.6	17.6	-1.92	13.4	13.3	0.08
Antoine Carr	18	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-17	12	19.2	16.8	2.41	15.4	12.9	2.52
Jacque Vaughn	33	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-20	18	15.1	18.4	-3.32	13.2	13.4	-0.20
Greg Foster	17	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	-10	-2	19.8	16.7	3.04	13.4	13.3	0.09
Adam Keefe	34	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.19	-13	-9	-4	17.6	17.1	0.58	13.9	13.1	0.78
Greg Ostertag	57	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-18	14	17.0	17.6	-0.61	13.1	13.8	-0.72
Jeff Hornacek	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-17	12	15.8	19.3	-3.47	13.0	13.8	-0.81
Bryon Russell	61	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-12	2	17.2	17.3	-0.09	13.2	13.6	-0.33
Howard Eisley	54	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-6	-10	18.9	15.0	3.88	13.6	13.0	0.54
Karl Malone	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-9	-4	17.0	18.0	-0.93	12.9	14.6	-1.63
Shandon Anderson	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.26	-22	0	-22	18.2	16.2	1.92	13.6	13.0	0.62

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	1	20	13.5	12.9	0.52	18.1	13.8	4.26
Rex Chapman	61	60	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.20	17	5	12	13.6	12.9	0.74	18.2	15.7	2.51
Danny Manning	37	36	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	7	8	12.9	13.7	-0.77	19.0	16.2	2.75
Kevin Johnson	67	68	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	15	-8	12.9	14.4	-1.47	16.2	20.2	-4.03
Cedric Ceballos	35	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	16	-10	12.7	13.8	-1.08	16.0	18.1	-2.11
Antonio McDyess	42	40	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	10	2	13.7	13.1	0.64	17.1	17.4	-0.31
Clifford Robinson	48	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	14	-6	13.9	12.8	1.13	18.4	16.2	2.20
Steve Nash	31	31	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	13	-4	13.6	13.3	0.33	16.7	17.6	-0.85
Mark Bryant	29	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	22	-22	12.8	13.6	-0.82	15.7	17.9	-2.17
Hot Rod Williams	18	18	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	17	-12	12.8	13.5	-0.72	17.3	17.3	0.00
George McCloud	20	21	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	16	-10	15.0	12.9	2.08	16.3	17.6	-1.28
Horacio Llamas	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	18	-14	12.0	13.5	-1.45	14.7	17.5	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	97.7%
UTA 83, DEN 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CLE 79, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%