NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	85		Excitement	6.5 [536]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +18.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.5 [842]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -17.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	9	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Snyder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	15	42%	-0.04	5	-0.13	8	75%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.23,-0.25,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.22,-0.2,-0.18	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	32	36%	-0.09	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.06	-0.03	24	56%	0.25	3	-0.06	9	56%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	15	56%	0.16	3	-0.10	9	67%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	10	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	29.6	15.4	23.2	2.4	36.8	132.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +46.6%

CLE +9.2%

HOU -9.1%

CLE +7.7%

HOU -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	15.4	91.4	97.8	104.5
season	15.6	16.0		103.6	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	16.4	16.8	14.9	15.7
CLE	14.6	13.6	17.5	15.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	24	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-8	10	17.7	15.0	2.79	16.1	15.0	1.13
Dikembe Mutombo	35	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.18	1	-7	8	15.7	15.7	0.01	15.6	15.0	0.60
Juwan Howard	35	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-3	0	17.2	14.7	2.49	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Charles Hayes	55	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-4	2	14.9	16.8	-1.92	15.7	14.8	0.87
Yao Ming	55	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-1	-4	16.1	15.1	1.01	15.6	14.9	0.71
Tracy McGrady	76	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-9	12	15.1	18.2	-3.06	15.9	12.9	2.98
Luther Head	45	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-3	0	16.1	15.3	0.84	14.5	16.2	-1.69
Shane Battier	69	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	2	-10	15.0	17.7	-2.79	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Rafer Alston	71	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.11	-15	9	-24	15.5	16.2	-0.66	14.6	17.5	-2.91

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	79	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-2	10	15.5	14.4	1.10	15.5	16.8	-1.27
Anderson Varejao	43	43	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	0	6	14.2	16.2	-1.97	16.4	15.1	1.34
LeBron James	82	82	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	7	-8	15.3	15.0	0.33	15.2	19.5	-4.39
Eric Snow	46	43	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.20	3	3	0	14.5	16.1	-1.56	16.1	15.3	0.77
Donyell Marshall	43	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.13	5	1	4	14.3	16.2	-1.92	15.4	15.9	-0.45
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	49	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	5	-4	16.5	14.0	2.54	16.1	15.2	0.98
Sasha Pavlovic	47	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	3	0	16.1	14.5	1.56	15.2	16.3	-1.15
Shannon Brown	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.03	5	1	4	14.6	15.5	-0.89	18.0	14.9	3.19
Drew Gooden	50	50	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	6	-6	16.2	14.2	1.97	15.1	16.4	-1.34
Ira Newble	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	6	-6	1.0	15.4	-14.45	12.0	15.7	-3.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 91, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.95,1,1	94.7%
PHI 90, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	93.9%
SAS 106, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.99,1	93.8%