NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	91		Excitement	6.0 [487]		MVP	Marcus Thornton (SAC): +23.2%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.4 [461]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -17.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	14	61%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	24	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Troy Murphy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Ebanks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Goudelock	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	4	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	10	30%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.09	0.04	13	87%	0.30	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	13	53%	0.10	0	0.00	12	58%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donte Greene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.09	6	67%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.8	30.5	15.7	28.3	2.3	37.4	139.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +62.0%

LAL -6.3%

SAC +3.7%

LAL -10.7%

SAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.6	98.9	109.9	102.8
season	16.2	14.9		103.8	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.1		107.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.4	16.5	15.4	14.2	15.9
SAC	14.5	14.8	14.6	18.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Goudelock	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-9	9	16.6	15.8	0.82	13.4	16.0	-2.56
Derek Fisher	55	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-10	11	16.1	15.5	0.61	16.0	14.9	1.14
Pau Gasol	63	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-10	11	15.9	15.8	0.18	15.9	15.0	0.93
Devin Ebanks	37	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-9	9	15.9	15.8	0.11	14.3	16.5	-2.14
Matt Barnes	26	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-8	7	14.9	16.3	-1.33	18.3	14.6	3.72
Josh McRoberts	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-2	-5	16.5	15.4	1.05	14.9	16.1	-1.15
Luke Walton	14	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-4	-1	15.7	15.9	-0.20	12.4	16.1	-3.74
Kobe Bryant	72	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-5	1	15.7	16.7	-1.05	16.2	13.2	3.01
Troy Murphy	45	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	3	-15	16.1	15.6	0.50	15.3	15.9	-0.67
Steve Blake	39	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	1	-11	15.5	16.2	-0.73	14.7	16.1	-1.40
Metta World Peace	55	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	15.8	16.0	-0.20	16.3	14.6	1.67

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	45	47	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-2	13	15.8	15.4	0.32	16.6	15.1	1.46
Charles Hayes	55	53	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	-2	13	15.1	16.3	-1.22	16.3	15.4	0.91
Jimmer Fredette	48	49	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	1	7	15.8	15.3	0.46	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Travis Outlaw	35	37	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-2	13	16.1	15.2	0.89	15.2	16.3	-1.16
Tyreke Evans	67	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	5	-1	15.6	15.6	-0.04	16.0	15.6	0.44
Isaiah Thomas	26	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	5	-1	16.2	15.4	0.78	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Marcus Thornton	68	69	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.13	2	7	-5	15.7	15.3	0.45	16.0	15.6	0.42
John Salmons	56	55	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	11	-13	15.2	16.1	-0.89	16.3	15.2	1.16
Donte Greene	1	2	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	7	-5	13.0	15.6	-2.62	8.0	16.1	-8.06
Jason Thompson	15	15	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	10	-11	13.9	15.9	-2.07	15.3	16.0	-0.73
JJ Hickson	39	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	14	-19	16.0	15.3	0.71	15.4	16.2	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 85, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.96,1	94.7%
ORL 98, IND 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
TOR 89, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.89,0.86,0.96,1	93.9%