NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	90		Excitement	5.1 [796]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +19.5%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.5 [908]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -6.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.02	-0.03	15	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	12	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	-0.00	-0.04	15	56%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	17	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	2	33%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.04	0.01	15	86%	0.28	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.02
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	11	71%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	12	83%	0.17	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	8	65%	0.09	5	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.6	25.9	15.6	24.1	2.5	32.4	125.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +32.1%

GSW +8.7%

GSW +12.1%

PHI -8.1%

GSW +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	16.9	15.7	102.3	118.2	100.5
season	16.2	16.1		96.7	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.8		101.6	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	18.1	14.0	16.4	15.8
GSW	17.7	17.9	16.7	15.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	35	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-16	18	15.3	16.1	-0.73	16.3	17.3	-1.00
Kyle Korver	3	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-11	8	12.3	15.9	-3.57	4.0	17.6	-13.56
Amal McCaskill	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-14	14	13.4	16.0	-2.65	20.7	16.6	4.19
Derrick Coleman	58	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-10	6	16.7	14.0	2.71	16.5	17.9	-1.34
Marc Jackson	24	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-8	2	16.1	15.7	0.47	19.0	16.2	2.78
Willie Green	26	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-5	-4	13.8	16.6	-2.86	16.7	17.0	-0.34
Kenny Thomas	68	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-10	6	15.9	15.4	0.50	17.0	16.8	0.13
Samuel Dalembert	15	13	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-3	-8	13.7	16.2	-2.55	16.3	17.1	-0.75
Allen Iverson	78	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-7	0	15.5	18.0	-2.50	16.8	17.8	-0.93
Aaron McKie	58	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	0	-14	16.0	15.4	0.63	17.4	16.1	1.33
Eric Snow	67	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	0	-14	16.8	12.5	4.34	17.1	16.2	0.90

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	83	84	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-4	22	16.8	19.6	-2.82	15.8	16.0	-0.23
Calbert Cheaney	88	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	0	14	16.9	0.0	16.94	15.8	0.0	15.78
Clifford Robinson	62	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	2	10	17.6	15.5	2.10	15.7	16.0	-0.36
Brian Cardinal	47	45	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	8	-2	16.5	17.5	-1.02	15.9	15.6	0.31
Erick Dampier	60	60	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	3	8	17.3	16.2	1.12	16.7	13.8	2.93
Speedy Claxton	49	49	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	8	-2	17.3	16.5	0.86	15.8	15.7	0.07
Avery Johnson	39	39	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	6	2	16.5	17.3	-0.86	15.7	15.8	-0.07
Dan Langhi	4	4	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	11	-8	4.0	17.6	-13.56	9.2	16.1	-6.85
Popeye Jones	2	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	17	-20	19.0	16.9	2.10	12.3	15.9	-3.57
Adonal Foyle	6	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	19	-24	20.8	16.7	4.17	12.7	16.0	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.3%
LAL 91, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.7%
PHI 69, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.7%