inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 106 Excitement11.4 [28] MVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): +91.8%
Washington Wizards 107 Comeback39.2 [48] LVPKelenna Azubuike (GSW): -17.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.070.14-0.01692%0.242-0.0300%0.00
Al Harrington0.180,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,0.180.010.16-0.012151%0.343-0.16786%0.02
Monta Ellis0.150,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,-0.04,0.150.070.07-0.011465%0.302-0.153100%0.03
Jason Richardson0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.23,0.080.050.050.022848%0.131-0.0420%-0.03
Josh Powell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Andris Biedrins-0.090,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.090.01-0.10-0.00868%0.014-0.103100%0.01
Matt Barnes-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12-0.07-0.06-0.011035%-0.042-0.0800%0.00
Kelenna Azubuike-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.15-0.05-0.0240%-0.064-0.1100%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.920.920.110.810.011964%1.053-0.1312100%0.98
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.160.160.020.13-0.01750%0.1600.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.00383%0.111-0.0500%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.030.00456%0.0600.001100%0.01
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.014100%0.091-0.0400%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,0.050.05-0.070.08-0.051554%0.297-0.24786%0.01
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00362%0.0300.002100%0.01
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.01
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Donell Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.01828%-0.061-0.01250%-0.02
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.110.001645%-0.011-0.13837%-0.12
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.72.030.115.829.01.839.3143.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +6.8%
WAS +69.7%
GSW -32.8%
WAS +12.4%
GSW -6.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWWASNBAGSWWASNBA
this game14.912.815.4101.9102.9104.5
season13.514.8105.7107.8
opponent15.315.2108.7105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW11.517.015.416.214.9
WAS13.812.513.411.512.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andris Biedrins84830.53-1.031.560.337-81515.811.14.6612.813.0-0.16
Josh Powell1818-0.01-0.490.490.08-32-512.115.4-3.3313.812.61.22
Kelenna Azubuike4342-0.03-0.470.43-0.123-4714.715.0-0.2113.512.41.13
Sarunas Jasikevicius1011-0.11-0.390.290.07-65-1117.214.62.5812.512.9-0.42
Jason Richardson9695-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.546-71314.815.5-0.6912.911.81.15
Al Harrington8384-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.370-1115.512.43.0512.514.3-1.89
Mickael Pietrus5152-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.39-21-314.115.6-1.5112.713.0-0.35
Monta Ellis9595-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.521-2314.716.6-1.8512.614.9-2.26
Matt Barnes4040-1.210.71-1.92-0.89-1110-2114.015.4-1.4513.012.70.36

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Roger Mason Jr.25271.09-0.591.680.8010-91912.313.0-0.7216.214.41.78
Antawn Jamison91910.70-0.200.900.497-61312.415.7-3.2715.311.93.36
Caron Butler84830.61-0.110.710.494-3712.016.4-4.4215.313.12.16
Gilbert Arenas87860.370.130.230.57-78-1512.813.1-0.3514.317.3-2.98
Antonio Daniels27280.120.38-0.26-0.128-71513.712.51.1816.014.51.50
DeShawn Stevenson53500.120.38-0.260.44-1112-2311.813.9-2.1514.914.80.11
Andray Blatche28290.090.41-0.33-0.127-61314.612.22.4414.615.0-0.43
Darius Songaila12130.040.46-0.420.0110110.613.1-2.5416.514.61.82
Donell Taylor910-0.020.52-0.540.01-12-316.712.54.209.215.5-6.27
Jarvis Hayes2928-0.100.60-0.70-0.04-23-515.012.03.0613.615.3-1.77
Calvin Booth4645-0.250.75-0.99-0.19-23-512.812.8-0.0414.015.5-1.49
Etan Thomas2930-0.260.76-1.020.00-910-1914.212.31.8715.514.60.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 102, SAS 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.41,191.0%
BOS 88, MIL 910.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.41,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.76,0.71,0.43,0.16,190.7%
SEA 116, NYK 1200.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.76,0.67,0.85,0.71,0.77,0.42,190.0%