NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	8.4 [200]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +27.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	91		Comeback	9.4 [158]		LVP	Marquis Daniels (MIL): -17.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.11	0.14	-0.03	11	82%	0.33	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0.22,0.08	-0.04	0.09	-0.03	16	47%	0.14	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	11	59%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11	-0.04	-0.11	-0.04	17	41%	-0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.15,-0.15	0.02	-0.16	0.01	11	61%	0.01	3	-0.16	6	83%	0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.15	0.01	11	67%	0.26	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,0.25	0.25	0.01	0.24	-0.00	12	54%	0.30	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	6	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	4	42%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.09	-0.06	20	38%	-0.10	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	9	44%	-0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	30.5	16.4	22.7	1.8	34.5	129.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +40.9%

BOS -0.3%

MIL +5.8%

MIL +4.0%

BOS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.3	15.4	93.6	96.8	104.1
season	14.9	14.7		101.2	101.6
opponent	15.3	16.2		103.9	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	17.4	17.1	16.2	16.4
MIL	14.6	12.6	12.9	17.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	24	26	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.14	-1	-2	1	18.5	15.6	2.94	12.5	15.0	-2.47
Jared Sullinger	26	27	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.09	-3	0	-3	17.8	15.8	2.01	13.0	14.8	-1.86
Brandon Bass	55	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-9	15	15.3	17.9	-2.64	14.9	13.4	1.50
Paul Pierce	72	71	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.44	12	-15	27	16.3	16.4	-0.08	14.5	13.7	0.73
Chris Wilcox	7	6	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	3	-9	13.4	16.6	-3.16	11.3	14.5	-3.16
Jason Terry	78	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.42	7	-10	17	16.6	15.2	1.33	14.4	13.7	0.66
Leandro Barbosa	26	24	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	8	-19	15.8	16.6	-0.75	13.5	14.6	-1.11
Kevin Garnett	63	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-7	11	15.7	17.8	-2.12	15.3	12.3	3.04
Courtney Lee	76	78	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.54	-4	1	-5	16.3	16.4	-0.12	14.4	13.5	0.95
Jeff Green	43	43	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.21	-19	16	-35	17.1	15.7	1.45	14.0	14.5	-0.53

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Sanders	63	63	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.25	18	-15	33	14.5	13.9	0.52	17.0	15.1	1.92
Luc Mbah a Moute	28	29	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-13	29	12.9	14.9	-1.94	16.4	16.3	0.09
Monta Ellis	79	77	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.62	1	2	-1	14.2	14.9	-0.69	16.1	17.3	-1.15
Ersan Ilyasova	65	65	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.11	16	-13	29	13.9	15.2	-1.33	17.2	14.4	2.80
Doron Lamb	30	32	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	-9	21	13.9	14.5	-0.62	16.7	16.1	0.60
Marquis Daniels	70	68	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.49	-12	15	-27	14.4	14.0	0.44	16.3	16.4	-0.05
John Henson	27	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.27	-13	16	-29	15.9	13.7	2.20	14.0	17.3	-3.35
Ekpe Udoh	31	31	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.16	-15	18	-33	13.9	14.5	-0.52	15.1	17.0	-1.92
Brandon Jennings	77	78	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	11	-19	14.8	12.2	2.58	16.5	15.7	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.41,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.76,0.71,0.43,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 106, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.27,1	90.7%
BOS 102, SAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.41,1	88.1%
PHI 83, CHA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.53,0.66,0.75,0.55,0.43,0.41,1	87.9%