NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	116		Excitement	10.3 [63]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +80.1%
New York Knicks	120		Comeback	2.9 [699]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): -26.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.80	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.36,0.7,0.8	0.33	0.49	0.01	12	115%	0.83	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Robert Swift	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Damien Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Ray Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.08,-0.08	0.13	-0.23	-0.02	29	54%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	20	41%	-0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	27%	-0.02	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.02
Johan Petro	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.06	-0.03	9	22%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27	-0.07	-0.18	0.01	9	39%	-0.22	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.21

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.17	0.20	0.00	14	79%	0.39	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.22	0.01	5	75%	0.27	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	9	74%	0.21	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.03
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.08	0.03	10	76%	0.32	5	-0.20	9	89%	0.07
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.12	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	21	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.00
Malik Rose	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	34.3	15.7	29.2	2.4	38.2	145.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +32.1%

NYK +58.6%

SEA -28.6%

SEA -10.9%

SEA -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NYK	NBA	SEA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	15.6	123.4	129.0	104.4
season	15.0	15.7		108.9	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.8		108.7	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.9	13.0	16.0	16.0	15.2
NYK	16.1	16.4	13.4	16.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Swift	23	21	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.13	8	-12	20	15.4	15.1	0.28	13.8	16.2	-2.40
Mikki Moore	4	3	0.01	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-6	8	14.0	15.2	-1.23	18.7	15.5	3.14
Nick Collison	30	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.21	3	-7	10	13.8	15.8	-2.08	14.6	16.1	-1.46
Rashard Lewis	76	76	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.41	8	-12	20	15.4	14.2	1.19	16.2	13.2	2.99
Reggie Evans	25	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	2	-8	15.2	15.2	0.03	14.1	16.1	-2.04
Ronald Murray	45	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	3	-10	14.3	16.0	-1.71	15.8	15.4	0.41
Luke Ridnour	73	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.43	6	-10	16	15.5	14.1	1.34	15.1	17.6	-2.52
Johan Petro	29	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	5	-14	16.9	14.4	2.48	18.7	14.1	4.68
Damien Wilkins	18	17	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	8	-20	14.2	15.4	-1.19	13.2	16.2	-2.99
Ray Allen	87	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.36	-3	-1	-2	15.4	12.4	2.97	15.6	16.3	-0.72
Vladimir Radmanovic	60	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	6	-16	15.0	15.4	-0.41	16.1	14.6	1.56

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	44	46	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-7	18	15.6	15.6	0.02	16.6	13.8	2.75
Trevor Ariza	49	50	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	1	2	14.5	16.9	-2.35	14.5	16.0	-1.50
Stephon Marbury	85	86	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-1	6	15.7	14.9	0.82	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Nate Robinson	52	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	4	-4	15.1	16.2	-1.11	14.9	15.5	-0.63
Eddy Curry	53	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.39	-4	8	-12	17.6	13.0	4.65	16.1	13.9	2.19
Channing Frye	45	45	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	-8	20	13.9	17.2	-3.27	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Malik Rose	5	5	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	3	-2	18.2	15.5	2.72	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Qyntel Woods	47	47	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	3	-2	15.6	15.7	-0.06	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Jerome James	6	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	6	-8	14.5	15.7	-1.20	18.4	15.0	3.40
Maurice Taylor	55	55	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.19	5	-1	6	15.9	15.2	0.74	14.6	16.0	-1.36
Quentin Richardson	11	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	9	-14	15.1	15.7	-0.60	15.8	15.1	0.72
Antonio Davis	13	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	11	-18	17.8	15.3	2.49	16.6	15.0	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.76,0.67,0.85,0.71,0.77,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 90, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.59,1	91.0%
ORL 82, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.85,0.91,0.73,1	90.7%
MEM 80, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.36,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,1	90.6%