NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	93		Excitement	4.6 [895]		MVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): +11.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	76		Comeback	1.4 [528]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -27.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.04	14	50%	0.11	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Joey Graham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jorge Garbajosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Uros Slokar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	18	56%	0.07	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	63%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	-0.05	7	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	14	41%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	39%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	14	38%	-0.04	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.20	-0.08	-0.01	17	21%	-0.19	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	29.6	15.4	24.3	2.5	27.2	127.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +40.3%

TOR +13.4%

CHA -6.4%

CHA -0.9%

TOR +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	16.0	15.4	100.0	80.0	104.5
season	15.2	15.7		104.7	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.2	12.6	14.6	17.3	14.6
CHA	16.4	16.1	16.0	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	62	62	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	3	11	15.0	13.8	1.27	16.4	15.2	1.21
Anthony Parker	66	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	0	17	14.1	15.9	-1.73	16.4	15.0	1.40
Andrea Bargnani	61	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	3	11	15.2	13.6	1.57	15.4	17.2	-1.88
Jorge Garbajosa	29	29	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	10	-3	13.0	15.4	-2.41	17.9	15.2	2.73
Jose Calderon	53	54	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.13	13	4	9	14.7	14.5	0.17	15.3	16.9	-1.59
Morris Peterson	64	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.06	10	7	3	15.4	13.0	2.41	15.2	17.9	-2.73
T.J. Ford	45	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	13	-9	14.4	14.9	-0.48	16.7	15.3	1.35
Rasho Nesterovic	32	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	14	-11	13.6	15.2	-1.57	17.2	15.4	1.88
Juan Dixon	32	31	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	14	-11	15.0	14.4	0.62	15.4	16.3	-0.86
Joey Graham	16	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	16	-15	13.2	14.9	-1.66	16.2	16.0	0.23
Uros Slokar	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	24.0	14.5	9.48	7.5	16.2	-8.68
Kris Humphries	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	18	-19	18.0	14.5	3.53	12.0	16.2	-4.18

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	6	5	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-21	25	15.3	16.0	-0.71	19.4	14.4	5.05
Ryan Hollins	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-18	19	13.9	16.4	-2.51	18.4	13.8	4.64
Gerald Wallace	48	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-14	11	17.5	14.5	2.99	13.6	15.7	-2.04
Jake Voskuhl	32	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-12	7	14.7	16.7	-1.93	14.6	14.6	-0.05
Derek Anderson	35	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-13	9	14.7	16.7	-1.99	14.6	14.6	0.00
Raymond Felton	59	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-13	9	16.2	15.7	0.54	14.8	14.4	0.40
Walter Herrmann	19	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-6	-5	15.1	16.2	-1.18	16.7	14.1	2.59
Primoz Brezec	21	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-9	1	18.3	15.3	3.00	13.0	15.1	-2.19
Jeff McInnis	43	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	-2	-13	15.9	16.1	-0.25	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Emeka Okafor	51	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-6	-5	16.6	15.2	1.40	13.5	16.0	-2.42
Adam Morrison	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-4	-9	15.3	17.9	-2.61	15.1	13.4	1.68
Matt Carroll	74	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	-1	-15	16.4	14.5	1.90	14.4	15.7	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	95.0%
PHX 137, MEM 122	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAS 87, CHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%