NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	137		Excitement	4.9 [845]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +31.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	122		Comeback	1.5 [1093]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -7.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.26	0.06	-0.00	21	76%	0.35	4	-0.04	13	92%	0.06
Shawn Marion	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	14	76%	0.17	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Raja Bell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.03	18	66%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
James Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	0.05	10	60%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.00	-0.00	18	66%	0.19	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	-0.01	-0.03	15	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	-0.02	0.05	11	92%	0.17	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.06	9	83%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	44%	0.00	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.8	29.3	20.3	29.5	3.5	28.4	137.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +12.3%

PHX +3.5%

PHX +8.5%

PHX +22.8%

PHX +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	13.3	13.8	15.4	129.2	115.1	104.5
season	13.8	15.1		112.2	105.1
opponent	15.1	16.0		110.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.5	12.6	13.8	14.6	13.3
MEM	13.7	13.6	13.3	14.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	94	94	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	0	15	13.1	14.9	-1.78	14.0	12.3	1.69
Steve Nash	76	75	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	4	7	13.6	12.6	1.03	14.0	13.4	0.63
Shawn Marion	86	87	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-1	17	13.3	13.6	-0.32	14.0	13.3	0.69
Amar'e Stoudemire	80	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	10	-5	13.5	12.8	0.76	13.8	14.0	-0.17
Leandro Barbosa	58	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	2	11	13.1	13.6	-0.56	13.7	14.0	-0.39
James Jones	52	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	7	1	13.5	13.2	0.31	13.3	14.3	-0.99
Boris Diaw	78	79	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	9	-3	13.2	13.6	-0.36	13.8	14.0	-0.18
Kurt Thomas	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	14	-13	13.5	13.3	0.17	14.0	13.8	0.18

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	45	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-15	15	13.8	13.8	0.02	13.0	13.6	-0.53
Tarence Kinsey	5	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-17	19	12.0	13.9	-1.92	11.6	13.4	-1.83
Dahntay Jones	24	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-13	11	14.9	13.5	1.35	12.0	13.8	-1.85
Rudy Gay	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.19	-13	-2	-11	14.3	13.6	0.68	12.8	13.6	-0.81
Alexander Johnson	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-10	5	13.0	14.6	-1.61	13.5	13.2	0.23
Hakim Warrick	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-8	1	14.7	13.2	1.53	12.6	13.9	-1.30
Chucky Atkins	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-13	11	12.0	15.5	-3.49	13.9	12.8	1.05
Damon Stoudamire	66	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-4	-7	14.8	12.2	2.66	13.5	13.0	0.51
Lawrence Roberts	28	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-9	3	12.6	14.3	-1.61	13.8	13.2	0.62
Pau Gasol	87	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-3	-9	14.2	11.9	2.29	13.5	12.6	0.91
Mike Miller	92	91	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	4	-23	13.8	14.3	-0.52	13.8	10.8	2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
OKC 104, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
TOR 93, CHA 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%