NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Excitement	5.2 [767]		MVP	Jeff Green (OKC): +4.9%
Golden State Warriors	95		Comeback	1.6 [780]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -25.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	16	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	17	52%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	83%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	21	52%	0.05	4	-0.07	14	93%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.03	0.04	15	70%	0.11	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	16	55%	0.03	3	-0.04	12	67%	-0.03
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby Karl	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.05	12	38%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.08	-0.06	22	33%	-0.11	7	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	28.6	15.4	28.4	2.4	31.6	134.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +15.1%

OKC +11.5%

GSW -6.1%

OKC +22.0%

OKC +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	GSW	NBA	OKC	GSW	NBA
this game	13.1	13.9	15.3	98.1	88.8	106.0
season	15.0	13.4		106.2	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.5		110.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.9	12.4	12.6	14.9	13.1
GSW	12.4	14.8	14.1	14.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	93	95	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-8	25	12.9	14.6	-1.70	14.3	10.7	3.66
Thabo Sefolosha	74	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	1	7	12.6	14.3	-1.75	14.5	12.5	1.93
Nenad Krstic	48	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-1	11	12.2	13.9	-1.63	13.7	14.1	-0.46
Russell Westbrook	80	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-1	11	12.9	13.7	-0.81	14.3	12.7	1.62
Jeff Green	82	81	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-1	11	13.2	12.9	0.32	13.8	14.3	-0.57
James Harden	46	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	8	-7	13.5	12.8	0.74	14.0	13.9	0.11
Eric Maynor	26	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	10	-11	13.7	12.9	0.81	12.7	14.3	-1.62
Nick Collison	53	57	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	3	3	13.6	12.6	1.04	14.7	13.0	1.72
Serge Ibaka	18	18	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	12	-15	14.1	12.9	1.19	11.7	14.4	-2.64
Kevin Ollie	5	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	16.2	13.0	3.23	5.5	14.2	-8.74
Byron Mullens	5	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	16.2	13.0	3.23	5.5	14.2	-8.74

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Hunter	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-16	23	9.5	14.2	-4.68	15.8	13.0	2.87
Anthony Morrow	34	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-4	-1	14.1	13.8	0.25	12.6	13.4	-0.86
Ronny Turiaf	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-8	7	14.2	13.8	0.36	13.1	13.1	-0.03
CJ Watson	29	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-6	3	13.7	14.0	-0.26	14.1	12.8	1.33
Corey Maggette	71	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	0	-9	13.3	15.2	-1.93	11.9	15.5	-3.56
Stephen Curry	63	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-11	13	12.9	15.4	-2.46	13.3	12.9	0.44
Anthony Tolliver	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-5	1	14.3	13.0	1.30	13.6	11.9	1.67
Coby Karl	65	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	14.2	13.5	0.72	13.9	11.9	1.98
Monta Ellis	88	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	3	-15	14.6	10.6	4.06	12.9	14.1	-1.13
Andris Biedrins	73	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	6	-21	14.2	13.4	0.83	12.9	13.6	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 116, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
ORL 108, NJN 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
BOS 105, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%