NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	4.4 [950]		MVP	Glen Davis (BOS): +12.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	87		Comeback	1.4 [1031]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -15.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.01	0.05	11	77%	0.16	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.02	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	68%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	13	67%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Mikki Moore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Henry Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	6	37%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	15	51%	0.07	2	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	5	58%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	55%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.04	0.03	15	44%	-0.05	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	33.5	15.7	22.9	2.7	29.3	131.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +51.9%

MEM -1.0%

BOS +4.4%

MEM -4.9%

MEM -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MEM	NBA	BOS	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	17.0	15.5	114.1	94.6	106.4
season	15.8	16.1		108.3	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.6		107.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	15.4	14.1	13.2	14.3
MEM	16.8	16.6	17.2	17.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	67	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.15	23	-5	28	14.2	14.7	-0.50	18.0	14.3	3.68
Kendrick Perkins	49	49	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.04	16	2	14	14.3	14.3	0.07	17.6	16.3	1.38
Rajon Rondo	57	56	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	3	12	14.1	14.7	-0.55	17.3	16.6	0.71
Paul Pierce	57	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	3	12	14.1	14.7	-0.55	17.3	16.6	0.71
Kevin Garnett	34	33	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	10	-2	14.0	14.5	-0.55	17.1	16.9	0.11
Glen Davis	54	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	4	10	14.4	14.2	0.13	17.5	16.2	1.29
Henry Walker	21	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	22	-26	14.6	14.2	0.33	14.5	17.7	-3.26
Gabe Pruitt	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	13.9	14.4	-0.47	17.6	16.9	0.63
Mikki Moore	39	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	15.0	13.8	1.19	15.9	17.9	-1.96
Stephon Marbury	36	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.11	3	15	-12	14.4	14.3	0.12	16.6	17.3	-0.71
Eddie House	37	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	17	-16	14.6	14.1	0.42	15.6	18.0	-2.45

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamed Haddadi	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-22	26	14.0	17.2	-3.20	14.2	14.3	-0.16
Quinton Ross	20	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-20	22	18.2	16.7	1.55	14.2	14.3	-0.10
Marko Jaric	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-17	16	17.1	17.0	0.12	14.4	14.3	0.09
Darko Milicic	31	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-9	0	18.3	16.3	2.01	15.8	13.6	2.16
Greg Buckner	41	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-7	-4	17.3	16.7	0.55	14.5	14.2	0.33
O.J. Mayo	60	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-7	-4	16.2	18.5	-2.36	14.6	13.8	0.82
Darrell Arthur	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-15	12	16.3	17.6	-1.25	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Hakim Warrick	59	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-4	-10	17.2	16.6	0.64	14.3	14.3	-0.04
Marc Gasol	46	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-4	-10	16.8	17.2	-0.37	14.1	14.6	-0.48
Mike Conley	57	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-8	-2	16.6	17.5	-0.89	14.2	14.5	-0.25
Rudy Gay	68	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.20	-23	5	-28	17.4	15.7	1.68	13.8	16.0	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 127, MEM 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
NOH 122, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MEM 100, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.6%