NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	87		Excitement	4.9 [854]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +7.4%
Chicago Bulls	77		Comeback	1.4 [1167]		LVP	Justin Holiday (CHI): -16.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	24	54%	0.07	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Paul	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	13	41%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.06
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	8	48%	0.04	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	12	62%	0.11	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	14	45%	0.02	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	71%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kay Felder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	14	45%	-0.04	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.06	0.04	18	39%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.5	26.4	16.4	23.6	2.4	26.6	119.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +11.8%

SAS +0.2%

SAS +24.5%

SAS +13.2%

SAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHI	NBA	SAS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.1	14.0	14.7	90.6	81.1	107.5
season	15.5	14.2		106.7	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.5		110.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.6	14.4	18.7	16.1	16.1
CHI	13.2	13.8	14.0	15.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	61	58	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	0	10	15.7	16.8	-1.10	13.2	15.4	-2.23
Dejounte Murray	52	51	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.07	15	-5	20	15.8	16.5	-0.65	14.9	13.1	1.77
Rudy Gay	43	43	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-8	26	16.2	16.1	0.11	15.4	12.9	2.43
LaMarcus Aldridge	65	63	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-3	16	16.5	15.2	1.34	14.4	13.2	1.19
Kyle Anderson	64	63	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	13	-16	16.8	14.8	1.98	13.3	15.6	-2.29
Pau Gasol	42	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	7	-4	15.6	16.5	-0.95	13.3	14.6	-1.28
Manu Ginobili	44	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	7	-4	15.5	16.7	-1.20	15.1	13.1	1.99
Joffrey Lauvergne	35	35	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	13	-16	16.0	16.2	-0.21	13.3	14.5	-1.15
Bryn Forbes	30	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	11	-12	16.3	16.0	0.33	15.1	13.5	1.57
Brandon Paul	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	10	-10	0.0	16.3	-16.27	6.0	14.1	-8.13
Patty Mills	43	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	15	-20	16.8	15.5	1.33	13.1	14.9	-1.77

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Nwaba	36	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-8	6	14.4	13.8	0.60	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Robin Lopez	60	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-7	4	13.1	15.6	-2.51	15.7	16.8	-1.02
Kay Felder	30	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-2	-6	15.7	13.3	2.37	15.1	16.5	-1.38
Jerian Grant	65	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-8	6	13.3	15.7	-2.37	16.5	15.1	1.38
Denzel Valentine	52	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-5	0	15.7	12.1	3.60	16.0	16.2	-0.18
Cristiano Felicio	35	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-3	-4	15.6	13.1	2.51	16.8	15.7	1.02
Justin Holiday	72	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-5	0	13.3	16.4	-3.16	16.6	14.5	2.08
Lauri Markkanen	73	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-5	0	14.0	14.1	-0.06	16.1	16.1	0.01
Paul Zipser	52	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	3	-16	13.2	15.0	-1.79	15.8	16.5	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 102, WAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
POR 117, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.54,0.52,0.39,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SEA 102, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%