NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Excitement	5.1 [760]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +15.3%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	1.6 [645]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -10.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	22	68%	0.25	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Terry Porter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	5	92%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stanley Roberts	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	52%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Reggie Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	2	83%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	12	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.04	14	54%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	14	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	73%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	27	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.02
Chris Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	15	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.4	21.3	16.4	24.7	2.4	25.2	112.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.9%

MIN +1.6%

MIN +9.3%

SAC -3.3%

MIN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	13.7	17.2	15.6	111.8	103.2	102.5
season	14.8	15.2		105.3	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.7		104.3	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	14.5	11.6	16.1	13.7
SAC	15.6	18.3	17.9	17.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	77	78	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.20	18	-10	28	13.5	14.9	-1.46	17.6	15.4	2.19
Anthony Peeler	77	78	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-9	26	13.4	15.4	-2.06	17.4	16.4	1.00
Stanley Roberts	35	34	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	-1	10	14.9	13.0	1.85	17.3	17.2	0.04
Stephon Marbury	62	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	7	-6	14.3	12.5	1.82	16.7	18.3	-1.64
Sam Mitchell	60	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	7	-6	12.8	15.4	-2.58	17.3	17.2	0.07
Reggie Jordan	33	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	4	0	16.0	12.5	3.47	18.3	16.7	1.61
Terry Porter	53	53	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	12	-16	13.8	13.6	0.14	16.8	17.8	-1.03
Cherokee Parks	58	59	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	9	-10	13.0	14.9	-1.85	17.2	17.3	-0.04
Tom Hammonds	10	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	13	-18	12.4	13.9	-1.49	15.0	17.4	-2.45

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Robinson	20	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.12	1	-9	10	16.3	17.5	-1.13	17.6	12.7	4.93
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	50	50	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-10	12	16.8	17.7	-0.94	13.8	13.7	0.11
Otis Thorpe	44	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-6	4	16.7	17.7	-0.92	12.3	15.1	-2.82
Mark Hendrickson	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	17.7	16.9	0.73	13.8	13.7	0.18
Michael Stewart	49	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	17.7	16.7	0.92	15.1	12.3	2.82
Lawrence Funderburke	52	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	1	-10	17.4	17.0	0.42	12.6	15.2	-2.66
Terry Dehere	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	17.3	17.2	0.04	14.7	12.3	2.44
Anthony Johnson	73	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	1	-10	17.5	16.3	1.13	12.7	17.6	-4.93
Corliss Williamson	85	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	17.2	17.9	-0.70	13.7	13.7	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, CHA 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
NYK 93, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0	94.8%
DAL 112, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%