NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	100		Excitement	7.5 [353]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +22.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	104		Comeback	2.0 [663]		LVP	Desmond Mason (NOK): -8.1%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	12	62%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jannero Pargo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	39%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Chris Paul	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	57%	0.11	4	-0.13	9	78%	-0.00
Devin Brown	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
David West	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	15	47%	-0.00	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Desmond Mason	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	17	45%	0.07	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.16	-0.02	16	57%	0.31	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.06
Matt Carroll	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.11	0.00	7	57%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	19	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	16	53%	0.08	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.6	28.4	14.8	30.8	2.0	35.2	136.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +11.7%

CHA +13.5%

CHA +9.7%

CHA +16.3%

NOK -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	CHA	NBA	NOK	CHA	NBA
this game	14.4	16.0	15.4	106.4	109.5	104.5
season	16.0	15.7		102.8	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	13.2	15.5	14.7	14.4	14.4
CHA	16.8	15.8	14.1	17.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	50	48	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.35	12	-16	28	14.2	14.7	-0.52	18.0	14.0	4.00
Linton Johnson	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-3	2	0.0	14.4	-14.43	15.0	16.1	-1.05
Chris Paul	71	71	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-15	26	14.2	15.0	-0.76	16.7	14.0	2.73
Hilton Armstrong	7	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	1	-6	17.0	14.2	2.78	12.0	16.4	-4.36
Tyson Chandler	82	82	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-9	14	14.2	15.9	-1.71	16.2	14.8	1.47
Desmond Mason	79	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-2	0	14.3	14.9	-0.52	15.7	17.6	-1.90
David West	73	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.46	6	-10	16	14.0	15.8	-1.78	17.2	12.1	5.14
Bobby Jackson	44	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	12	-28	14.7	14.2	0.52	14.3	17.7	-3.33
Jannero Pargo	24	26	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	10	-24	14.6	14.4	0.27	13.9	16.9	-2.97
Rasual Butler	40	42	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.19	-16	12	-28	15.5	13.6	1.91	14.7	17.1	-2.47

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Morrison	68	66	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-12	28	15.0	18.6	-3.61	14.7	13.7	1.01
Derek Anderson	66	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-12	28	14.5	19.7	-5.20	14.2	15.0	-0.78
Emeka Okafor	79	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	4	-4	16.6	13.3	3.28	13.9	16.8	-2.88
Raymond Felton	84	84	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	5	-6	16.5	12.5	4.06	14.3	15.2	-0.87
Gerald Wallace	83	83	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.43	-4	8	-12	16.7	11.6	5.10	14.5	14.2	0.28
Walter Herrmann	17	17	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	-7	18	12.2	16.9	-4.64	15.8	14.1	1.71
Jake Voskuhl	16	16	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	0	4	13.3	16.6	-3.28	16.8	13.9	2.88
Matt Carroll	39	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.27	-8	12	-20	17.7	14.9	2.76	13.6	15.0	-1.47
Primoz Brezec	23	23	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.09	-14	18	-32	19.7	14.9	4.76	14.9	14.3	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 98, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,1	92.4%
LAL 78, SAS 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.38,0.3,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	92.1%
SAC 100, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.0%