NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	7.1 [405]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +7.7%
Atlanta Hawks	103		Comeback	3.2 [149]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -17.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Phills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	12	59%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Derrick Coleman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.03	12	71%	0.10	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Eddie Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	18	49%	0.02	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	16	35%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	14	61%	0.15	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	11	61%	0.06	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.05
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.04	0.00	12	69%	0.12	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	24	38%	-0.04	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	15	35%	-0.13	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.4	24.8	14.8	24.2	1.8	36.2	129.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +22.2%

CHH -3.8%

ATL +33.8%

CHH -8.2%

ATL +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	ATL	NBA	CHH	ATL	NBA
this game	13.4	16.4	15.2	101.0	107.3	101.7
season	14.9	15.4		101.5	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.5	15.0	12.3	12.0	13.4
ATL	14.3	17.1	17.2	17.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	62	63	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.21	14	-19	33	14.5	11.5	2.97	18.4	12.8	5.58
David Wesley	69	69	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.29	9	-14	23	13.3	13.6	-0.32	16.7	15.8	0.88
Bobby Phills	81	82	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-8	11	12.5	17.9	-5.42	16.2	18.1	-1.98
Eddie Jones	86	87	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.35	3	-8	11	12.9	17.5	-4.66	16.3	17.4	-1.10
Eddie Robinson	16	14	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	3	-11	17.9	12.5	5.42	18.1	16.2	1.98
Anthony Mason	87	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	0	-5	13.3	14.6	-1.32	16.0	19.7	-3.70
Baron Davis	32	30	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.11	-18	13	-31	14.2	13.0	1.11	15.9	16.7	-0.80
Derrick Coleman	52	50	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.16	-23	18	-41	12.9	14.0	-1.10	14.9	18.1	-3.19

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	71	71	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.31	19	-14	33	15.9	18.1	-2.21	13.4	13.3	0.09
Roshown McLeod	88	89	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-11	27	16.5	16.0	0.49	13.5	12.2	1.27
Jim Jackson	88	89	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-3	11	16.1	20.1	-4.01	13.0	18.5	-5.54
Dikembe Mutombo	90	90	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	4	-3	16.4	17.8	-1.48	13.1	17.4	-4.33
Lorenzen Wright	38	38	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	6	-7	17.5	15.8	1.74	14.1	13.0	1.14
Alan Henderson	64	66	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.13	10	-5	15	16.0	17.4	-1.48	13.4	13.4	0.08
Chris Crawford	5	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	9	-13	15.0	16.5	-1.53	16.0	13.3	2.73
Anthony Johnson	11	11	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	15	-25	19.5	16.1	3.40	15.1	13.2	1.89
Bimbo Coles	25	26	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	0.05	-14	19	-33	18.1	15.9	2.21	13.3	13.4	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 100, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	92.4%
MIA 89, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.3%
HOU 107, CLE 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.77,0.64,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.94,1,1	92.0%