NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	107		Excitement	7.3 [300]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (CLE): +24.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Comeback	3.3 [391]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -14.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	25	59%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	10	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.04	0.04	11	83%	0.16	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Jonny Flynn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Hill	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	10%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.22	0.06	0.03	16	70%	0.25	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	8	71%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	7	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	42%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.07
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.02	0.13	15	52%	-0.07	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.7	31.2	15.6	26.2	1.8	36.2	135.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +18.2%

CLE +15.3%

CLE +10.8%

CLE +3.7%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	15.6	108.1	119.2	102.8
season	15.4	15.5		103.5	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.5		107.1	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.1	14.6	16.8	14.3	15.2
CLE	13.7	14.2	13.8	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	71	72	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.04	7	-18	25	14.3	17.2	-2.88	14.3	13.0	1.24
Samuel Dalembert	66	65	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.13	9	-20	29	14.6	16.2	-1.55	14.4	13.0	1.39
Kevin Martin	34	33	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.12	-3	-8	5	15.1	15.2	-0.01	13.8	14.0	-0.27
Chandler Parsons	62	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-7	3	14.0	17.1	-3.12	13.2	15.1	-1.83
Luis Scola	80	80	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-7	3	14.8	16.8	-2.03	13.9	14.1	-0.14
Courtney Lee	47	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	16.3	14.1	2.14	13.6	14.3	-0.73
Jordan Hill	13	14	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	3	-17	18.8	14.6	4.25	13.3	14.0	-0.76
Patrick Patterson	34	33	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	-1	-9	16.8	14.3	2.50	15.0	13.4	1.55
Chase Budinger	60	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	-3	-5	14.8	15.6	-0.81	14.2	13.6	0.59
Jonny Flynn	28	27	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	7	-25	17.2	14.3	2.88	13.0	14.3	-1.24

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gibson	55	55	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.19	21	-10	31	13.8	14.1	-0.23	15.8	14.3	1.54
Omri Casspi	29	27	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.22	15	-4	19	15.3	13.4	1.94	17.4	14.3	3.05
Samardo Samuels	48	47	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	2	7	15.2	12.7	2.54	15.4	15.0	0.40
Tristan Thompson	42	44	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	-5	21	14.5	13.5	0.93	17.6	13.2	4.35
Ramon Sessions	42	42	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	-3	17	13.0	14.6	-1.55	15.9	14.6	1.31
Antawn Jamison	61	62	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	4	3	13.3	15.0	-1.76	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Kyrie Irving	63	62	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	11	-11	13.7	14.4	-0.71	14.0	17.1	-3.04
Alonzo Gee	70	72	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	15	-19	13.4	15.3	-1.94	14.3	17.4	-3.05
Anthony Parker	44	44	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.02	-10	21	-31	14.1	13.8	0.23	14.3	15.8	-1.54
Ryan Hollins	41	40	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.04	-13	24	-37	14.2	13.8	0.39	13.7	16.1	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.77,0.64,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 98, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,1	92.0%
PHX 107, CHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.93,0.95,1	91.9%
MIA 89, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.99,0.99,1,1	91.8%